CAJ | 학술논문

风速分布模型是用于风电场资源评估、风电场规划与建设以及发电系统可靠性评估等方面不可缺少的数学基础。本文主要综述了反映中长周期的风速分布特性的数学模型，如伽马分布、对数正态分布、瑞利分布、威布尔分布和Burr分布；并以威布尔分布为例，介绍了常用的各种参数估计方法。文中分析比较了各种方法的优缺点，并对今后风电场风速分布模型的研究进行了展望。
풍속분포모형시용우풍전장자원평고、풍전장규화여건설이급발전계통가고성평고등방면불가결소적수학기출。본문주요종술료반영중장주기적풍속분포특성적수학모형，여가마분포、대수정태분포、서리분포、위포이분포화Burr분포；병이위포이분포위례，개소료상용적각충삼수고계방법。문중분석비교료각충방법적우결점，병대금후풍전장풍속분포모형적연구진행료전망。
The models of wind speed distribution are the important mathematic bases applying to wind resource as-sessment, planning and building of wind farms, and also for the reliability evaluation of power systems. Firstly, this paper reviews some models of medium-and-long-term wind speed distribution, such as Gamma distribution, Log-normal distribution, Rayleigh distribution, Weibull distribution and Burr distribution. Secondly, on the base of the Weibull distribution, kinds of parameter estimated methods are introduced. Thirdly, the characteristics of various distribution models and estimated algorithms are compared respectively. At the end of this paper the prospects of this research area are put forward.