CAJ | 학술논문

为研究终端区容量的影响因素及变化规律和趋势，基于终端区运行特性分析，综合考虑航线长度、飞行速度、管制间隔等因素，采用阻塞流理论和方法，建立了终端区容量网络模型．以杭州萧山机场终端区为例，构建了恶劣天气发生位置、双跑道运行模式等多运行场景，分析了不同因素对终端区容量的作用关系和影响规律．研究结果表明：终端区容量受恶劣天气影响呈不均匀阶梯状递减，下降梯度与航线的可替代性紧密相关，当影响AND方向单一进场航线时，容量下降10～20架次/h；不同的多跑道运行模式下容量相差明显，容量区间在33～108架次/h．
위연구종단구용량적영향인소급변화규률화추세，기우종단구운행특성분석，종합고필항선장도、비행속도、관제간격등인소，채용조새류이론화방법，건립료종단구용량망락모형．이항주소산궤장종단구위례，구건료악렬천기발생위치、쌍포도운행모식등다운행장경，분석료불동인소대종단구용량적작용관계화영향규률．연구결과표명：종단구용량수악렬천기영향정불균균계제상체감，하강제도여항선적가체대성긴밀상관，당영향AND방향단일진장항선시，용량하강10～20가차/h；불동적다포도운행모식하용량상차명현，용량구간재33～108가차/h．
In order to investigate the influence factors and variation trends of terminal capacity,a capacity network model for terminal area was built using the flow decomposition barrier theory according to the terminal area characteristics,in which the length of routes,flight speed,control separation,and other factors were considered. Taking Hangzhou terminal area as an example,multi-scenarios were built about location of bad weather,dual-runway operation pattern,etc. ,and the effect mechanism and relationship of different influence factors on the terminal capacity was investigated. The results indicate that terminal capacity has a uneven step-like decline due to bad weather,and the descent gradient is closely related to the route substitutability. When the bad weather affect the single route of AND direction,the capacity decreases 10 -20 vehicles per hour;the dual-runway capacity differs significantly with different operating patterns,and the capacity ranges from 33 to 108 vehicles per hour.