CAJ | 학술논문

本文首先简要分析了全球及中国铼的资源形势、用途及消费结构。由于铼的消费领域集中，文中采用部门需求预测法，通过分析未来航空发动机及催化剂两大主要产业的发展趋势，分别对未来全球及中国的铼资源需求进行预测，预计未来全球及中国铼资源需求量将继续增大，2030年中国铼需求量最大将达到约40 t ，约占全球的1/5。由于国内铼资源供应及保障程度较低，建议通过增加矿山铼产量、形成铼资源回收产业化及建立铼的战略储备机制等措施来保障我国铼资源的供应安全。
본문수선간요분석료전구급중국래적자원형세、용도급소비결구。유우래적소비영역집중，문중채용부문수구예측법，통과분석미래항공발동궤급최화제량대주요산업적발전추세，분별대미래전구급중국적래자원수구진행예측，예계미래전구급중국래자원수구량장계속증대，2030년중국래수구량최대장체도약40 t ，약점전구적1/5。유우국내래자원공응급보장정도교저，건의통과증가광산래산량、형성래자원회수산업화급건립래적전략저비궤제등조시래보장아국래자원적공응안전。
This paper briefly analyses the resource situation、application and consumption structure of rhenium .As the areas of consumption are concentrated ,the paper uses the method of sector demand forecasting to analyze the future rhenium demand of world and China by analyzing the future trends of the main industries of aviation engines and catalysts .It is expected that the rhenium demand will continue to increase of world and China ,and China rhenium maximal demand will have reached 40t by 2030 which is about 1/5 of the world .Due to the low level of domestic rhenium supply and support capabilities ,the suggestion to protect the security of China rhenium supply is to increase the mine production of rhenium , form the industry of rhenium scrap recovery and establish the strategic reserve mechanism of rhenium .