中国医药导报
中國醫藥導報
중국의약도보
CHINA MEDICAL HERALD
2014年
26期
84-86,91
,共4页
刘丽花%刘淑君%刘晓松%王险峰%党静%王莹莹%李洁芳%赵川
劉麗花%劉淑君%劉曉鬆%王險峰%黨靜%王瑩瑩%李潔芳%趙川
류려화%류숙군%류효송%왕험봉%당정%왕형형%리길방%조천
艾滋病高危人群%规模估计%普查法%乘数法%捕获-再捕获法
艾滋病高危人群%規模估計%普查法%乘數法%捕穫-再捕穫法
애자병고위인군%규모고계%보사법%승수법%포획-재포획법
AIDS high-risk population%Size estimation%Census method%multiplier method%Capture-recapture method
目的:了解石家庄市艾滋病高危人群规模,为艾滋病疫情估计提供依据。方法采用普查法估计暗娼人群规模,采用乘数法估计吸毒/注射吸毒人群规模,采用捕获-再捕获法调查估计男男性行为人群规模。结果石家庄市暗娼规模估计数量为6369人;吸毒人群规模估计5598人,其中,注射吸毒人群规模估计933人;男男性行为人群规模估计11878人。结论三类人群所占人口比例均较低,但规模估计结果均超过了日常掌握的情况,今后应进一步落实完善宣传、干预、监测等综合措施。
目的:瞭解石傢莊市艾滋病高危人群規模,為艾滋病疫情估計提供依據。方法採用普查法估計暗娼人群規模,採用乘數法估計吸毒/註射吸毒人群規模,採用捕穫-再捕穫法調查估計男男性行為人群規模。結果石傢莊市暗娼規模估計數量為6369人;吸毒人群規模估計5598人,其中,註射吸毒人群規模估計933人;男男性行為人群規模估計11878人。結論三類人群所佔人口比例均較低,但規模估計結果均超過瞭日常掌握的情況,今後應進一步落實完善宣傳、榦預、鑑測等綜閤措施。
목적:료해석가장시애자병고위인군규모,위애자병역정고계제공의거。방법채용보사법고계암창인군규모,채용승수법고계흡독/주사흡독인군규모,채용포획-재포획법조사고계남남성행위인군규모。결과석가장시암창규모고계수량위6369인;흡독인군규모고계5598인,기중,주사흡독인군규모고계933인;남남성행위인군규모고계11878인。결론삼류인군소점인구비례균교저,단규모고계결과균초과료일상장악적정황,금후응진일보락실완선선전、간예、감측등종합조시。
Objective To estimate the size of AIDS high-risk populations in Shijiazhuang City, so as to provide evi-dence for AIDS epidemic situation. Methods The census method, the multiplier method and the capture-recapture method were applied for size estimation of commercial sex workers (CSWs), drug/injection drug users (IDUs), and men sex with men (MSM), respectively. Results The estimated number was respectively 6369 and 11878 among population of CSWs and MSM in Shijiazhuang. The estimated number was 5598 in population of drug users, including 933 IDUs. Conclusion Three types of population proportion are lower. However, the results of size estimation are higher than the re-ality. In the future, should further implement the comprehensive measures such as propaganda, intervention and monitoring.