地域研究与开发
地域研究與開髮
지역연구여개발
AREAL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
2014年
5期
16-20,33
,共6页
县域经济发展%时空演化%库兹涅茨比率%空间自相关%山东省
縣域經濟髮展%時空縯化%庫玆涅茨比率%空間自相關%山東省
현역경제발전%시공연화%고자열자비솔%공간자상관%산동성
county economy development%spatio-temporal evolution%Kuznets ratio%spatial autocorrelation%Shandong Province
借助 GeoDA 软件，运用标准差、加权变异系数、库兹涅茨比率和空间自相关等分析方法，以山东省105个县域为研究单元，从时空双重维度着手，对山东省1995-2012年县域经济差异的时间演变趋势和空间格局分异特征进行定量分析。结果发现：时间序列上山东县域经济绝对差异显著扩大，相对差异缓慢上升，极化现象显著；从空间格局来看，山东县域经济存在明显的空间自相关性，总体呈现“大异质，小均质”的空间经济格局，东部县域发达而西部县域相对落后，县域间经济发展的空间依赖性呈现出由增强到减弱的趋势，县域经济发展遵循“积累循环”法则，空间自相关集聚模式具有较高的稳定性。
藉助 GeoDA 軟件，運用標準差、加權變異繫數、庫玆涅茨比率和空間自相關等分析方法，以山東省105箇縣域為研究單元，從時空雙重維度著手，對山東省1995-2012年縣域經濟差異的時間縯變趨勢和空間格跼分異特徵進行定量分析。結果髮現：時間序列上山東縣域經濟絕對差異顯著擴大，相對差異緩慢上升，極化現象顯著；從空間格跼來看，山東縣域經濟存在明顯的空間自相關性，總體呈現“大異質，小均質”的空間經濟格跼，東部縣域髮達而西部縣域相對落後，縣域間經濟髮展的空間依賴性呈現齣由增彊到減弱的趨勢，縣域經濟髮展遵循“積纍循環”法則，空間自相關集聚模式具有較高的穩定性。
차조 GeoDA 연건，운용표준차、가권변이계수、고자열자비솔화공간자상관등분석방법，이산동성105개현역위연구단원，종시공쌍중유도착수，대산동성1995-2012년현역경제차이적시간연변추세화공간격국분이특정진행정량분석。결과발현：시간서렬상산동현역경제절대차이현저확대，상대차이완만상승，겁화현상현저；종공간격국래간，산동현역경제존재명현적공간자상관성，총체정현“대이질，소균질”적공간경제격국，동부현역발체이서부현역상대락후，현역간경제발전적공간의뢰성정현출유증강도감약적추세，현역경제발전준순“적루순배”법칙，공간자상관집취모식구유교고적은정성。
With the support of GeoDA software and methods of standard deviation , weighted coefficient of var-iation, Kuznets ratio and spatial autocorrelation analysis , the temporal evolution tendencies and spatial differentia -tion characteristics of the 105 counties of Shandong Province from 1995 to 2012 are quantitatively analyzed .The ab-solute difference of county economy is marked enlarging , the relative difference is increasing slowly and the polari -zation is obvious on time series; From the spatial distribution pattern, the spatial autocorrelation of county economy development in Shandong Province is obviously positive .The spatial structure of county economy differences pres -ents regionally homogeneous at the large scale and heterogeneous at the small scale .The western region’s economy lags behind the eastern region , the spatial dependence of county economy development has a trend from strengthe -ning to weakening and the county economy development is undertaken within the laws of accumulation and cycling , spatial autocorrelation clustering pattern of county economies with higher stability in Shandong Province .
