气象学报
氣象學報
기상학보
ACTA METEOROLOGICA SINICA
2014年
5期
892-907
,共16页
周天军%邹立维%吴波%金晨曦%宋丰飞%陈晓龙%张丽霞
週天軍%鄒立維%吳波%金晨晞%宋豐飛%陳曉龍%張麗霞
주천군%추립유%오파%금신희%송봉비%진효룡%장려하
耦合模式比较计划(CMIP)%IPCC 报告%大气环流模式%海洋环流模式%气候系统模式%地球系统模式%高分辨率模式
耦閤模式比較計劃(CMIP)%IPCC 報告%大氣環流模式%海洋環流模式%氣候繫統模式%地毬繫統模式%高分辨率模式
우합모식비교계화(CMIP)%IPCC 보고%대기배류모식%해양배류모식%기후계통모식%지구계통모식%고분변솔모식
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP)%IPCC Assessment Report%Atmospheric general circulation mod-el%Oceanic general circulation model%Climate system model%Earth system model%High-resolution model
在系统总结过去20年从CMIP1到CMIP4世界各国模式的综合情况基础上,回顾了中国气候模式参与CMIP 科学试验的概况。在此基础上,概述了CMIP5的试验设计,总结了参加CMIP5的5个中国气候模式的特点。随后,从高分辨率模式研发、地球系统模式研发、地球气候系统模式最为关键的分量---大气环流模式和海洋环流模式研发的角度,提出了中国地球气候系统模式发展面临的挑战,指出了中国模式发展面临的机遇。针对如何从国家层次协调以实现地球气候模式的可持续发展问题,给出了美国国家科学院最近发布的《推动气候模拟的国家战略》所提出的九条措施作为参考。
在繫統總結過去20年從CMIP1到CMIP4世界各國模式的綜閤情況基礎上,迴顧瞭中國氣候模式參與CMIP 科學試驗的概況。在此基礎上,概述瞭CMIP5的試驗設計,總結瞭參加CMIP5的5箇中國氣候模式的特點。隨後,從高分辨率模式研髮、地毬繫統模式研髮、地毬氣候繫統模式最為關鍵的分量---大氣環流模式和海洋環流模式研髮的角度,提齣瞭中國地毬氣候繫統模式髮展麵臨的挑戰,指齣瞭中國模式髮展麵臨的機遇。針對如何從國傢層次協調以實現地毬氣候模式的可持續髮展問題,給齣瞭美國國傢科學院最近髮佈的《推動氣候模擬的國傢戰略》所提齣的九條措施作為參攷。
재계통총결과거20년종CMIP1도CMIP4세계각국모식적종합정황기출상,회고료중국기후모식삼여CMIP 과학시험적개황。재차기출상,개술료CMIP5적시험설계,총결료삼가CMIP5적5개중국기후모식적특점。수후,종고분변솔모식연발、지구계통모식연발、지구기후계통모식최위관건적분량---대기배류모식화해양배류모식연발적각도,제출료중국지구기후계통모식발전면림적도전,지출료중국모식발전면림적궤우。침대여하종국가층차협조이실현지구기후모식적가지속발전문제,급출료미국국가과학원최근발포적《추동기후모의적국가전략》소제출적구조조시작위삼고。
The development of coupled earth/climate system models in China over almost the past 20 years is reviewed,inclu-ding a comparison with other international models that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP)from phase 1 (CMIP1)to phase 4 (CMIP4).The Chinese contribution to CMIP is summarized,and the major achievements from CMIP1 to CMIP3 are listed as a reference for assessing the strengths and weaknesses of Chinese models.After a description of CMIP5 experiments,the five Chinese models that participated in CMIP5 are then introduced.Furthermore,following a review of the current status of international model development,both the challenges and opportunities for the Chinese climate modeling community are discussed.The development of high-resolution climate models,earth system models,and improvements in at-mospheric general circulation and oceanic general circulation models,which are core components of earth/climate system mod-els,are highlighted.To guarantee the sustainable development of climate system models in China,the need for national-level coordination is discussed,along with a list of the main components and supporting elements identified by the US National Strat-egy for Advancing Climate Modeling.