气象学报
氣象學報
기상학보
ACTA METEOROLOGICA SINICA
2014年
5期
880-891
,共12页
二维能量平衡模式%多平衡态%冰期%荒漠化%二氧化碳温室效应
二維能量平衡模式%多平衡態%冰期%荒漠化%二氧化碳溫室效應
이유능량평형모식%다평형태%빙기%황막화%이양화탄온실효응
Two-dimensional energy balance model%Multiple equilibria%Ice cap latitude%Desertification%Warming effect of carbon dioxide
回顾并分析讨论了二维能量平衡模式在冰界纬度和太阳常数的关系、荒漠化的演变及二氧化碳温室效应等一系列气候问题中的应用。同一个太阳常数最多可以对应3个平衡态,一个对应着目前的气候状态,一个对应着冰期气候,另一个对应着几乎全球冰封的气候,平衡态的数目及其稳定性与反照率的分布关系密切,反照率不连续性越大,平衡态的数目越多。荒漠带会随着荒漠反照率的增大分别向南、向北扩张,恶化荒漠植被交界地区的生态环境,危及人类的生产生活,荒漠化对中低纬度(高纬度)的温度变化影响较弱(显著)。二氧化碳浓度升高并不会使极冰迅速消融,全球平均温度缓慢升高,冰界纬度缓慢向北退却,时常会出现“停滞”现象。
迴顧併分析討論瞭二維能量平衡模式在冰界緯度和太暘常數的關繫、荒漠化的縯變及二氧化碳溫室效應等一繫列氣候問題中的應用。同一箇太暘常數最多可以對應3箇平衡態,一箇對應著目前的氣候狀態,一箇對應著冰期氣候,另一箇對應著幾乎全毬冰封的氣候,平衡態的數目及其穩定性與反照率的分佈關繫密切,反照率不連續性越大,平衡態的數目越多。荒漠帶會隨著荒漠反照率的增大分彆嚮南、嚮北擴張,噁化荒漠植被交界地區的生態環境,危及人類的生產生活,荒漠化對中低緯度(高緯度)的溫度變化影響較弱(顯著)。二氧化碳濃度升高併不會使極冰迅速消融,全毬平均溫度緩慢升高,冰界緯度緩慢嚮北退卻,時常會齣現“停滯”現象。
회고병분석토론료이유능량평형모식재빙계위도화태양상수적관계、황막화적연변급이양화탄온실효응등일계렬기후문제중적응용。동일개태양상수최다가이대응3개평형태,일개대응착목전적기후상태,일개대응착빙기기후,령일개대응착궤호전구빙봉적기후,평형태적수목급기은정성여반조솔적분포관계밀절,반조솔불련속성월대,평형태적수목월다。황막대회수착황막반조솔적증대분별향남、향북확장,악화황막식피교계지구적생태배경,위급인류적생산생활,황막화대중저위도(고위도)적온도변화영향교약(현저)。이양화탄농도승고병불회사겁빙신속소융,전구평균온도완만승고,빙계위도완만향북퇴각,시상회출현“정체”현상。
Based on a two-dimensional energy balance model,the studies on some climatic issues such as the relationship be-tween ice cap latitude and solar constant,desertification,and the warming effect of carbon dioxide,have been reviewed and dis-cussed.The phenomenon that a fixed solar constant might correspond to different equilibrium ice cap latitudes is determined by the continuity of albedo distribution.The discontinuity in albedo distribution increases the number of equilibrium ice cap lati-tude.Desert would expand both northward and southward when desert surface albedo is increasing.This would deteriorate the ecological environment in border regions,and then threaten the existence of local inhabitants.Polar ice would not accelerate melting with increasing carbon dioxide concentration.The ice cap latitude would move northward slowly,with some"hiatus"periods ,under the slowly increasing global average surface temperature.According to the current research,future development of the two-dimensional energy balance model and possible progress are also forecasted.