CAJ | 학술논문

井喷是海上钻井平台的重要威胁，而人因失误又是造成井喷的主要原因，所以对井喷事故人因失误分析对指导海上钻井安全有重要意义。本文建立了井喷事故人因失误类故障树模型，并对此进行定量分析。根据井喷事故的4个指标并结合风险图得到降低风险所需的置信水平，然后使用训练屏障和 GPS 定位屏障将风险降低到可接受水平。最后通过蝴蝶结模型将安全屏障对风险的影响清楚的展示出来，为人因失误的预防和控制提供指导。
정분시해상찬정평태적중요위협，이인인실오우시조성정분적주요원인，소이대정분사고인인실오분석대지도해상찬정안전유중요의의。본문건립료정분사고인인실오류고장수모형，병대차진행정량분석。근거정분사고적4개지표병결합풍험도득도강저풍험소수적치신수평，연후사용훈련병장화 GPS 정위병장장풍험강저도가접수수평。최후통과호접결모형장안전병장대풍험적영향청초적전시출래，위인인실오적예방화공제제공지도。
Blowout is an important threat for offshore drilling platform and human error is the main reason for blowout acci -dent ,so blowout human error analysis plays an important role in guiding the offshore drilling safety operation .In this paper the pseudo - failure tree model is set up and the quantitative analysis is also conducted .Based on the four indexes of blowout and risk graph ,the level of confidence needed in risk reduction has been achieved and then the risk is reduced to an acceptable level by using training barriers and GPS locator barrier .At last the bow - tie model is used to indicate clearly the effects of the safety barriers on risks ,providing directions for the prevention and control of human error .