CAJ | 학술논문

通过对新疆天山北坡三屯河流域2个采点的云杉树轮宽度标准化年表与小渠子和大西沟气象站月降水相关普查分析发现，区域森林中下部林缘年表与小渠子气象站上年7月至当年6月的降水呈显著正相关，其相关系数为0.694（p<0.0001），且具有明确的树木生理学意义。利用区域森林中下部林缘年表序列可较好地重建小渠子气象站146 a来上年7月至当年6月降水量。对天山北坡三屯河流域过去146 a降水变化特征分析表明：天山北坡三屯河流域降水大体经历了6个偏干阶段和6个偏湿阶段，具有2、4、7、14、26 a的变化准周期，1942年和1945年分别是三屯河流域甚至天山山区较大范围内过去146 a的降水最大年份和最小年份，降水的长期变化与天山山区变化趋势有很大的相似性。
통과대신강천산북파삼둔하류역2개채점적운삼수륜관도표준화년표여소거자화대서구기상참월강수상관보사분석발현，구역삼림중하부림연년표여소거자기상참상년7월지당년6월적강수정현저정상관，기상관계수위0.694（p<0.0001），차구유명학적수목생이학의의。이용구역삼림중하부림연년표서렬가교호지중건소거자기상참146 a래상년7월지당년6월강수량。대천산북파삼둔하류역과거146 a강수변화특정분석표명：천산북파삼둔하류역강수대체경력료6개편간계단화6개편습계단，구유2、4、7、14、26 a적변화준주기，1942년화1945년분별시삼둔하류역심지천산산구교대범위내과거146 a적강수최대년빈화최소년빈，강수적장기변화여천산산구변화추세유흔대적상사성。
Single correlation calculation between the standard chronologies of tree-ring width in two sites and precipitation of Xiaoquzi and Daxigou meteorological stations found that the correlations were significant among standard chronologies of tree-ring width and precipitation from July of last year to June of current year in the Santun river basin on the north slope of Tianshan Mountains. Mining Miaoergou mine and Santun river standardization chronologies of tree-ring width for the region received the regional tree-ring standardized chronology in the mid-lower limit of forest. And it has distinct physiological significance with a maximum correlation of 0.694(p<0.001). Using the regional tree-ring standardized chronology reconstructed a 146-year precipitation series. It was verified that the reconstructed precipitation series was reliable. Analyzing the 146 years reconstructed precipitation series indicated: there were 6 dry periods below its mean and 6 wet periods above its mean, and there significant change cycles of 2a, 4a, 7a, 14a and 26a in the long-term precipitation series. 1942 is maximum precipitation year and 1945 is minimum precipitation year over the past 146 years in Santun river basin even throughout the Tianshan Mountains.