CAJ | 학술논문

道路交通安全事故的发生与交通环境有密不可分的关系。引入未确知测度数学理论模型，将道路安全分为4个等级，建立天气状况、路面状况、地形状况等交通环境因素的评价指标体系，分析给定了分级标准，构建了道路安全状况评价指标的未确知测度函数，用信息熵法求取指标权重，依据置信度识别准则对道路安全状况进行识别，得到了一定交通环境下的道路交通安全等级，并结合实例进行了分析。研究结果表明，该方法能有效解决道路安全等级评价中诸多不确定性问题，操作性强，结果可靠。
도로교통안전사고적발생여교통배경유밀불가분적관계。인입미학지측도수학이론모형，장도로안전분위4개등급，건립천기상황、로면상황、지형상황등교통배경인소적평개지표체계，분석급정료분급표준，구건료도로안전상황평개지표적미학지측도함수，용신식적법구취지표권중，의거치신도식별준칙대도로안전상황진행식별，득도료일정교통배경하적도로교통안전등급，병결합실례진행료분석。연구결과표명，해방법능유효해결도로안전등급평개중제다불학정성문제，조작성강，결과가고。
Road traffic safety accidents are closely linked with traffic environment.Based on uncer-tainty measure theory,the road safety condition was divided into four grades,and the evaluation index sys-tem was established,which includes climate condition,pavement condition and landform condition;mean-while,the grading standards were given.Uncertainty measure functions of evaluation index are obtained u-sing the uncertainty measure theory,information entropy method is used to calculate weights of the evalua-tion indices.Credible degree recognition criteria are used to evaluate road safety level.Finally,the analy-sis is made with example.The results show that this evaluation method has solved the uncertainty factor problems of road safety grade evaluation;the analysis result proves the method operable and its result credible.