交通运输系统工程与信息
交通運輸繫統工程與信息
교통운수계통공정여신식
JOURNAL OF COMMUNICATION AND TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS ENGINEERING AND INFORMATION
2014年
5期
87-92
,共6页
孙启鹏%张兆芬%邹海波%李浩然%陈波
孫啟鵬%張兆芬%鄒海波%李浩然%陳波
손계붕%장조분%추해파%리호연%진파
交通工程%管理费测算%完全信息动态博弈%城市出租车%利益博弈%子博弈纳什均衡
交通工程%管理費測算%完全信息動態博弈%城市齣租車%利益博弈%子博弈納什均衡
교통공정%관리비측산%완전신식동태박혁%성시출조차%이익박혁%자박혁납십균형
traffic engineering%administrative expense calculation%dynamic game of complete information%city taxi%interest game%sub-game Nash equilibrium
为科学测算城市出租车管理费,解决现有测算方法难以体现各方利益均衡的难题,运用博弈理论,解析出租车公司与司机的动态博弈过程,明确各博弈路径的收益函数和各主体的博弈均衡条件,通过求解最优子博弈纳什均衡,给出管理费合理范围的测算方法,并以西安市为例进行实证检验,为城市出租车管理费测算提供基础性决策依据。研究表明,出租车运营各主体收益最大得以实现的条件是对方是否能以更大概率选择对自身有利的策略,从利益博弈视角测算管理费能实现双方收益均衡,缓解利益冲突。西安市的合理范围为4022-5840元/(月·车),即现实中有72%的出租车利益冲突激烈,这与实际相符,说明该方法可信。
為科學測算城市齣租車管理費,解決現有測算方法難以體現各方利益均衡的難題,運用博弈理論,解析齣租車公司與司機的動態博弈過程,明確各博弈路徑的收益函數和各主體的博弈均衡條件,通過求解最優子博弈納什均衡,給齣管理費閤理範圍的測算方法,併以西安市為例進行實證檢驗,為城市齣租車管理費測算提供基礎性決策依據。研究錶明,齣租車運營各主體收益最大得以實現的條件是對方是否能以更大概率選擇對自身有利的策略,從利益博弈視角測算管理費能實現雙方收益均衡,緩解利益遲突。西安市的閤理範圍為4022-5840元/(月·車),即現實中有72%的齣租車利益遲突激烈,這與實際相符,說明該方法可信。
위과학측산성시출조차관리비,해결현유측산방법난이체현각방이익균형적난제,운용박혁이론,해석출조차공사여사궤적동태박혁과정,명학각박혁로경적수익함수화각주체적박혁균형조건,통과구해최우자박혁납십균형,급출관리비합리범위적측산방법,병이서안시위례진행실증검험,위성시출조차관리비측산제공기출성결책의거。연구표명,출조차운영각주체수익최대득이실현적조건시대방시부능이경대개솔선택대자신유리적책략,종이익박혁시각측산관리비능실현쌍방수익균형,완해이익충돌。서안시적합리범위위4022-5840원/(월·차),즉현실중유72%적출조차이익충돌격렬,저여실제상부,설명해방법가신。
In order to scientifically calculate the administrative expenses and solve the problem that the equilibrium between all the participants can not be gotten by the existing method, game theory is adopted to analyze the dynamic game process between taxi company and driver, the profit function of each game path and the equilibrium conditions of each participant. By solving the optimal sub-game Nash equilibrium, the calculation method for administrative expenses range is developed. Furthermore, taking Xi’an taxi as an example to prove the validity of computational method, the fundamental basis for decision making of administrative expenses calculation of city taxi is presented. The studies indicate that the realization condition of interest maximum for each participant is whether they choice the beneficial strategy with greater probability. The administrative expenses calculation from the perspective of interest game can achieve both income balance and alleviate conflicts of interest. The reasonable range for Xi'an is 4 022-5 840 yuan/(month ? veh), that is, there exists an intense interest conflict of 72% of taxi. This conclusion is consistent with the actual, and further verifies the credibility of the calculation method.