中国安全生产科学技术
中國安全生產科學技術
중국안전생산과학기술
JOURNAL OF SAFETY SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
2014年
10期
5-9
,共5页
非常规突发事件%应激反应%复杂系统%多主体建模(ABMS)%NetLogo仿真
非常規突髮事件%應激反應%複雜繫統%多主體建模(ABMS)%NetLogo倣真
비상규돌발사건%응격반응%복잡계통%다주체건모(ABMS)%NetLogo방진
unconventional emergencies%stress response%complex systems%Multi-agent modeling(ABMS)%NETLOGO simulation
为深入研究非常规突发事件下个体应激反应,为突发事件应急管理提供理论依据,基于复杂系统理论( CAS)和多主体建模方法( ABMS),构建了应激演化模型;利用NetLogo仿真平台,并根据个体所处的社会环境,动态模拟了非常规突发事件、群体、个体行为间的相互制约关系。研究表明:公众应激反应演化系统是一种复杂的自适应系统;非常规突发事件应激反应在三个不同阶段呈现出不同的特征。因此,在非常规突发事件的应急管理中,要根据个体在每个阶段不同的特征采取与之相适应的措施。
為深入研究非常規突髮事件下箇體應激反應,為突髮事件應急管理提供理論依據,基于複雜繫統理論( CAS)和多主體建模方法( ABMS),構建瞭應激縯化模型;利用NetLogo倣真平檯,併根據箇體所處的社會環境,動態模擬瞭非常規突髮事件、群體、箇體行為間的相互製約關繫。研究錶明:公衆應激反應縯化繫統是一種複雜的自適應繫統;非常規突髮事件應激反應在三箇不同階段呈現齣不同的特徵。因此,在非常規突髮事件的應急管理中,要根據箇體在每箇階段不同的特徵採取與之相適應的措施。
위심입연구비상규돌발사건하개체응격반응,위돌발사건응급관리제공이론의거,기우복잡계통이론( CAS)화다주체건모방법( ABMS),구건료응격연화모형;이용NetLogo방진평태,병근거개체소처적사회배경,동태모의료비상규돌발사건、군체、개체행위간적상호제약관계。연구표명:공음응격반응연화계통시일충복잡적자괄응계통;비상규돌발사건응격반응재삼개불동계단정현출불동적특정。인차,재비상규돌발사건적응급관리중,요근거개체재매개계단불동적특정채취여지상괄응적조시。
In order to further research the individual psychological reaction of stress under unconventional emergen -cies, and provide a theoretical basis for emergency management , based on complex system theory (CAS) and multi agent modeling method ( ABMS) , a stress evolution model was established .By using NetLogo simulation platform , and according to the social environment of individuals , the dynamic simulation on the interacting relationship among unconventional emergencies , group and individual behaviors was conducted .It showed that:the evolution system of public response to stress is a complex adaptive system , and the response to stress under unconventional emergencies presents different characteristics in three different stages .Therefore, the management measures of unconventional e-mergency must adapt to the different characteristics of the individuals in each stage .