中国环境科学
中國環境科學
중국배경과학
CHINA ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE
2014年
10期
2706-2713
,共8页
温室气体%温室气体排放等级%气候变化%鄂尔多斯市
溫室氣體%溫室氣體排放等級%氣候變化%鄂爾多斯市
온실기체%온실기체배방등급%기후변화%악이다사시
greenhouse gas%greenhouse gas emission degree%climate change%ordos City
采用基于IPCC的《省级温室气体编制指南》和国际公认的《2006年IPCC国家温室气体清单指南》推荐的方法对鄂尔多斯市的温室气体足迹进行了动态分析.结果表明：1999~2011年鄂尔多斯市温室气体排放呈快速上升趋势,12年间温室排放量从518.10×104t上升为11730.10×104t,年均增幅29.69%.增幅最高的部门是能源(年均增幅35.08%)、水泥(21.94%)、农业(5.15%),林业固碳较低(28.84×104t),废弃物碳排放波动变化.从温室气体来源构成看,能源占57.5%~93.7%,水泥占3.35%~7.01%,农业占14.6%~32.6%,林业固碳占0.25%~5.57%,废弃物处理占0.44%~1.00%.可见能源消费的增加是导致鄂尔多斯市温室气体排放增加的主要原因.万元 GDP温室气体排放量呈现波动变化；人均、单位面积温室气体排放量和温室气体排放指数增速很快,年均增幅分别达25.60%、30.12%和25.67%.12年间鄂尔多斯市温室气体排放等级持续上升,从较低(Ⅰc)升高到极高等级(Ⅲc),目前距应对气候变暖目标(Ⅰb)已高出了7个亚级.鄂尔多斯市温室气体排放亟待降低.
採用基于IPCC的《省級溫室氣體編製指南》和國際公認的《2006年IPCC國傢溫室氣體清單指南》推薦的方法對鄂爾多斯市的溫室氣體足跡進行瞭動態分析.結果錶明：1999~2011年鄂爾多斯市溫室氣體排放呈快速上升趨勢,12年間溫室排放量從518.10×104t上升為11730.10×104t,年均增幅29.69%.增幅最高的部門是能源(年均增幅35.08%)、水泥(21.94%)、農業(5.15%),林業固碳較低(28.84×104t),廢棄物碳排放波動變化.從溫室氣體來源構成看,能源佔57.5%~93.7%,水泥佔3.35%~7.01%,農業佔14.6%~32.6%,林業固碳佔0.25%~5.57%,廢棄物處理佔0.44%~1.00%.可見能源消費的增加是導緻鄂爾多斯市溫室氣體排放增加的主要原因.萬元 GDP溫室氣體排放量呈現波動變化；人均、單位麵積溫室氣體排放量和溫室氣體排放指數增速很快,年均增幅分彆達25.60%、30.12%和25.67%.12年間鄂爾多斯市溫室氣體排放等級持續上升,從較低(Ⅰc)升高到極高等級(Ⅲc),目前距應對氣候變暖目標(Ⅰb)已高齣瞭7箇亞級.鄂爾多斯市溫室氣體排放亟待降低.
채용기우IPCC적《성급온실기체편제지남》화국제공인적《2006년IPCC국가온실기체청단지남》추천적방법대악이다사시적온실기체족적진행료동태분석.결과표명：1999~2011년악이다사시온실기체배방정쾌속상승추세,12년간온실배방량종518.10×104t상승위11730.10×104t,년균증폭29.69%.증폭최고적부문시능원(년균증폭35.08%)、수니(21.94%)、농업(5.15%),임업고탄교저(28.84×104t),폐기물탄배방파동변화.종온실기체래원구성간,능원점57.5%~93.7%,수니점3.35%~7.01%,농업점14.6%~32.6%,임업고탄점0.25%~5.57%,폐기물처리점0.44%~1.00%.가견능원소비적증가시도치악이다사시온실기체배방증가적주요원인.만원 GDP온실기체배방량정현파동변화；인균、단위면적온실기체배방량화온실기체배방지수증속흔쾌,년균증폭분별체25.60%、30.12%화25.67%.12년간악이다사시온실기체배방등급지속상승,종교저(Ⅰc)승고도겁고등급(Ⅲc),목전거응대기후변난목표(Ⅰb)이고출료7개아급.악이다사시온실기체배방극대강저.
Global warming caused by greenhouse gas (GHG) emission could cause severe natural environment problems. GHG accounting has become one of the hot research topics. Internationally,there were some researches on GHG accounting and some progresses have obtained, while the main problem was that the researches mainly focused on carbon emission from fossil fuel combustion, less involved the assessment methods of the regional carbon emission level. Ordos was the economic, cultural and large-scale industry hub in Inner Mongolia, however, the research about GHG footprint in Ordos was lack of in the literatures. To understand the dynamics of law and GHG emission level in Ordos city, using the method recommended by Chinese"Guidelines for Provincial Greenhouse Gas Inventories"and"the 2006IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories", a dynamic changes of GHG footprint in Ordos City was evaluated. The results showed that GHG emission was rising rapidly from 1999 to 2011 in Ordos, increasing from 518.10×104t to 11730.10×104t, which represented an average annual increase of 29.69%. The largest increase was for energy GHG (an average annual increase of 35.08%), cement (21.94%) and agriculture (5.15%). Forestry carbon sequestration was 28.84×104t (remain unchanged), which was a lower carbon sequestration,while waste carbon emission changed fluctuant. For the sources of GHG, energy GHG accounted for 57.5%~93.7%, cement GHG accounted for 3.35%~7.01%, agriculture GHG for 14.6%~32.6%, forestry carbon sequestration for -0.25%~-5.57%, and waste treatment GHG for 0.44%~1.00%. So the increase of energy consumption was the main cause of the increase in GHG emission in Ordos, and forestry carbon sequestration capacity needed to be improved. The GHG emissions per ten thousand yuan showed fluctuation, and GHG emission of per unit area and emission index grew quickly, showing an average annual increase of 25.60%, 30.12%and 25.67%respectively. The GHG emission level has increased continually from a low level (Ⅰc) to a high level (Ⅲc) during 12years, which was an increase of seven sub-grades higher than the target (Ⅰb) set for the control of global warming. So the increasing trend in carbon emission couldn’t be ignored in Ordos, and GHG emission needed to be reduced.
