华南农业大学学报(社会科学版)
華南農業大學學報(社會科學版)
화남농업대학학보(사회과학판)
JOURNAL OF SOUTH CHINA AGRICULTURAL UNIVERSITY(SOCIAL SCIENCE EDITION)
2014年
4期
24-36
,共13页
周振%谭智心%钟真
週振%譚智心%鐘真
주진%담지심%종진
粮食直补%种粮积极性%种粮成本%种粮面积
糧食直補%種糧積極性%種糧成本%種糧麵積
양식직보%충량적겁성%충량성본%충량면적
direct subsidies to grain producers%initiative to Cultivate%cost of grain growing%grain size
通过农户模型进行分析,理论推导的结论表明:在国内农业生产成本上升的背景下粮食补贴依然有效;运用2003-2010年全国农村固定观察点数据,使用面板Tobit模型以及面板数据分位数估计的方法证实了理论推导的结论。研究进一步表明,与粮食种植面积相挂钩的补贴方式对农户种粮积极性的激励作用要明显大于脱钩的补贴方式;此外,种粮成本对农户种粮积极性的抑制作用要远大于粮食直补的促进作用。
通過農戶模型進行分析,理論推導的結論錶明:在國內農業生產成本上升的揹景下糧食補貼依然有效;運用2003-2010年全國農村固定觀察點數據,使用麵闆Tobit模型以及麵闆數據分位數估計的方法證實瞭理論推導的結論。研究進一步錶明,與糧食種植麵積相掛鉤的補貼方式對農戶種糧積極性的激勵作用要明顯大于脫鉤的補貼方式;此外,種糧成本對農戶種糧積極性的抑製作用要遠大于糧食直補的促進作用。
통과농호모형진행분석,이론추도적결론표명:재국내농업생산성본상승적배경하양식보첩의연유효;운용2003-2010년전국농촌고정관찰점수거,사용면판Tobit모형이급면판수거분위수고계적방법증실료이론추도적결론。연구진일보표명,여양식충식면적상괘구적보첩방식대농호충량적겁성적격려작용요명현대우탈구적보첩방식;차외,충량성본대농호충량적겁성적억제작용요원대우양식직보적촉진작용。
First, analysis has been made through agricultural household models and theoretical derivation indicates that grain subsidies has been effective in an overall environment of domestic agricultural produc -tion cost rising .Then the Tobit model and panel data quantile regression method are used to test the a-bove hypothesis based on data collected from rural fixed observation points from year 2003-2010 .Our re-search suggests that correlating subsidies with cultivated area is more incentive than separating them .Al-so, the negative effect of agricultural cost on the initiative of farmers has been greater than the positive effect of direct subsidies .