中国煤炭
中國煤炭
중국매탄
CHINA COAL
2014年
10期
104-110
,共7页
瓦斯涌出量%时间序列%经典 R/S%分析法%V/S%分析%有效关联长度%中长期预测
瓦斯湧齣量%時間序列%經典 R/S%分析法%V/S%分析%有效關聯長度%中長期預測
와사용출량%시간서렬%경전 R/S%분석법%V/S%분석%유효관련장도%중장기예측
gas emission rate%time series%classical R/S analysis%V/S analysis%effective correlation length%medium and long term forecast
针对掘进工作面瓦斯涌出量时间序列复杂非线性特性,利用 V/S 分析法对其长程趋势特性进行了研究。介绍了经典R/S 分析的基本原理,针对经典 R/S 分析法存在的缺点,给出了V/S分析法基本原理和长程相关特性趋势的分析方法,并指出有效关联长度的计算方法。在MATLAB2009b 环境下实现了算法程序,利用此分析方法对鹤壁十矿1113工作面的瓦斯涌出量时间序列进行分析。结果表明:几组数据的 Hurst 指数值介于0?6301~0?9137,说明工作面瓦斯涌出量时间序列数据具有正相关特性,没有发生突出时正相关特性明显强于突出发生时,且没有发生突出时的有效关联长度值也明显大于发生突出时的有效关联长度。
針對掘進工作麵瓦斯湧齣量時間序列複雜非線性特性,利用 V/S 分析法對其長程趨勢特性進行瞭研究。介紹瞭經典R/S 分析的基本原理,針對經典 R/S 分析法存在的缺點,給齣瞭V/S分析法基本原理和長程相關特性趨勢的分析方法,併指齣有效關聯長度的計算方法。在MATLAB2009b 環境下實現瞭算法程序,利用此分析方法對鶴壁十礦1113工作麵的瓦斯湧齣量時間序列進行分析。結果錶明:幾組數據的 Hurst 指數值介于0?6301~0?9137,說明工作麵瓦斯湧齣量時間序列數據具有正相關特性,沒有髮生突齣時正相關特性明顯彊于突齣髮生時,且沒有髮生突齣時的有效關聯長度值也明顯大于髮生突齣時的有效關聯長度。
침대굴진공작면와사용출량시간서렬복잡비선성특성,이용 V/S 분석법대기장정추세특성진행료연구。개소료경전R/S 분석적기본원리,침대경전 R/S 분석법존재적결점,급출료V/S분석법기본원리화장정상관특성추세적분석방법,병지출유효관련장도적계산방법。재MATLAB2009b 배경하실현료산법정서,이용차분석방법대학벽십광1113공작면적와사용출량시간서렬진행분석。결과표명:궤조수거적 Hurst 지수치개우0?6301~0?9137,설명공작면와사용출량시간서렬수거구유정상관특성,몰유발생돌출시정상관특성명현강우돌출발생시,차몰유발생돌출시적유효관련장도치야명현대우발생돌출시적유효관련장도。
As for complex nonlinear characteristics of time series for gas emission rate at driving face,the longGrange trend characteristics were studied by V/S analysis.The basic princiG ple of classical R/S analysis was introduced,and the basic principle of V/S analysis was also proG posed aiming at the disadvantages of classical R/S analysis.Based on these,the trend of long-range correlation characteristics was given and the calculation method of effective correlation length was proposed.The algorithm routine was implemented in MATLAB2009b,which was used for the analysis of time series of gas emission rate at No.1 1 1 3 working face.The final reG sults showed that the Hurst index value of several groups of data is between 0.6301-0.9137,inG dicating that time-series data of gas emission rate at working face were positively correlated. The positively correlated characteristic was prominent and the effective correlated length was greater when no outburst occurred.