CAJ | 학술논문

2014年前3季度，中国鸡蛋价格波动走高，9月创下历史新高；鸡蛋供给不足是价格走高的根本原因，饲料、人工等蛋鸡饲养成本的持续上涨也起到一定的助推作用；1-8月禽蛋进口下降、出口增长，贸易顺差明显。随着在产蛋鸡存栏量的逐渐回升，鸡蛋供给偏紧的态势将有所缓和，预计第4季度蛋价将出现季节性回落。
2014년전3계도，중국계단개격파동주고，9월창하역사신고；계단공급불족시개격주고적근본원인，사료、인공등단계사양성본적지속상창야기도일정적조추작용；1-8월금단진구하강、출구증장，무역순차명현。수착재산단계존란량적축점회승，계단공급편긴적태세장유소완화，예계제4계도단개장출현계절성회락。
In the first three quarters of 2014, China's egg price fluctuated and went up, then got a record high in September. The core reason of increasing price was the insufficient supply of egg, and the rising feeding costs of fodder and labor also played a promoted role. The imports of China's poultry eggs declined and the exports grew, which contributed to obvious trade surplus in Jan-Aug. With gradually recovering stock of laying hens, the tight situation of egg supply will be easing up, and eggs prices will go down seasonally in the fourth quarter.