CAJ | 학술논문

以低碳电力为背景，提出了能够体现碳减排因素的备用市场竞价模型及该模型下碳捕集电厂捕集水平风险决策方法。建立了能够计及容量事故随机性的机组备用弹性需求曲线，然后根据外部性内在化理论，将边际碳排放成本内置到机组备用报价中，以得到的边际综合成本作为竞价依据，从而计及和区分机组碳排放特性差异，并采用供给与需求方法获取最优备用点。基于上述模型，分析碳捕集电厂的备用竞价优势，区分其收益与成本的风险性质差别，并从风险管理的角度优化 CO2捕集水平决策。仿真结果表明该竞价模型可以从社会角度实现备用的优化配置，对于碳捕集电厂而言，其捕集水平过高或过低均不合适，而应存在最优值。
이저탄전력위배경，제출료능구체현탄감배인소적비용시장경개모형급해모형하탄포집전엄포집수평풍험결책방법。건립료능구계급용량사고수궤성적궤조비용탄성수구곡선，연후근거외부성내재화이론，장변제탄배방성본내치도궤조비용보개중，이득도적변제종합성본작위경개의거，종이계급화구분궤조탄배방특성차이，병채용공급여수구방법획취최우비용점。기우상술모형，분석탄포집전엄적비용경개우세，구분기수익여성본적풍험성질차별，병종풍험관리적각도우화 CO2포집수평결책。방진결과표명해경개모형가이종사회각도실현비용적우화배치，대우탄포집전엄이언，기포집수평과고혹과저균불합괄，이응존재최우치。
Taking low-carbon electricity as the background, a reserve market bidding model that incarnates the carbon emission reduction factor and a capture level risk decision method for carbon capture power plant under this model are proposed. An elastic demand curve of unit reserve, in which the randomness of capacity faults can be taken into account, is established, and then according to the theory of internalization of externalities the marginal carbon emission cost is built into the bidding of unit reserve and the obtained marginal composite cost is taken as the foundation of bidding, thus the differences among unit carbon emission characteristics are taken into account and distinguished, and the method of supply and demand is utilized to obtain the optimal reserve point. Based on above-mentioned model the superiority of reserve bidding of carbon capture power plant is analyzed and the differences of risk property between its revenue and cost are distinguished and from the perspective to the risk management the carbon capture level decision is optimized. Simulation results show that using the proposed bidding model the reserve can be optimally configured from a social perspective, and as for carbon capture power plant too high or too low capture levels are inappropriate, and there should be an optimal value of the capture level.