CAJ | 학술논문

全球煤炭总产量和消费量分别以4．8％和4．5％的年均增长率快速攀升，增速不仅超过了天然气，两者差距也呈逐年增大的趋势，但实际上这些不具有客观性．通过对2013年 BP 世界能源统计数据进行整理分析得出：在去除中国因素后，全球煤炭总产量和消费量较包括中国时的总产量和消费量大幅下降，其总产量和消费量的年均增长率分别下降至2．2％和1．0％，天然气总产量和消费量较包括中国时的总产量和消费量仅有些许减少，其总产量和消费量的年均增长率分别为2．7％和2．4％，天然气增速反超煤炭，实现逆转；中国虽然是以煤炭作为主要消费能源，但是并未影响中国天然气消费量以17．3％的年均增长率迅速提升；中国常规与非常规天然气储量丰富，具有良好的发展前景，推动中国天然气发展，符合当今能源发展趋势和低碳经济发展模式．
전구매탄총산량화소비량분별이4．8％화4．5％적년균증장솔쾌속반승，증속불부초과료천연기，량자차거야정축년증대적추세，단실제상저사불구유객관성．통과대2013년 BP 세계능원통계수거진행정리분석득출：재거제중국인소후，전구매탄총산량화소비량교포괄중국시적총산량화소비량대폭하강，기총산량화소비량적년균증장솔분별하강지2．2％화1．0％，천연기총산량화소비량교포괄중국시적총산량화소비량부유사허감소，기총산량화소비량적년균증장솔분별위2．7％화2．4％，천연기증속반초매탄，실현역전；중국수연시이매탄작위주요소비능원，단시병미영향중국천연기소비량이17．3％적년균증장솔신속제승；중국상규여비상규천연기저량봉부，구유량호적발전전경，추동중국천연기발전，부합당금능원발전추세화저탄경제발전모식．
The average annual growth rates of coal production and consumption in the world are 4.8% and 4.5%,which are larger than those of natural gas.At the same time,the gap between them enlarges year by year.However,these conclusions are not objective. Excluding the production and consumption of coal in China,the average annual growth rates of coal reduce to 2.2% and 1.0% through the analysis of BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2013,while the total production and consumption of natural gas only decline slightly,which are 2.7% and 2.4% and exceed those of coal.Although the coal is the main energy resource in China,the consumption of natural gas increases by 17.3% on average annually.The reserves of conventional and unconventional natural gas in China are abundant.Therefore China has huge potential and a good development promising.The development of natural gas in China meets the energy development trend and low-carbon economic development model today.