地球学报
地毬學報
지구학보
ACTA GEOSCIENTIA SINICA
2014年
6期
751-758
,共8页
张艳飞%王高尚%陈其慎%于汶加
張豔飛%王高尚%陳其慎%于汶加
장염비%왕고상%진기신%우문가
非油气矿产%需求评价%勘查%优先序列%层次分析
非油氣礦產%需求評價%勘查%優先序列%層次分析
비유기광산%수구평개%감사%우선서렬%층차분석
non-oil mineral resources%demand evaluation%exploration%priority sequence%AHP
重点勘查矿种优先序列评价对新时期我国地质勘查工作科学部署、提高勘查效果、有效缓解资源压力具有重要的先导意义。本文在合理研判未来20年我国主要非油气矿产资源需求趋势的基础上,厘定了矿产的优先勘查序列。首先根据我国矿产资源的供需特征从134种矿产中初步筛选出48种作为评价样本;然后建立了包括资源安全程度、经济意义、国防和战略意义以及资源勘查前景等4项二级指标和未来需求趋势等11项三级指标的重点勘查矿种评价指标体系,并运用层次分析法进行了系统评价;最后,结合共伴生等影响因素,对优先勘查矿种进行了合理归并,确立了我国非油气矿产勘查的4级优先序列:1)重点勘查矿种:铜(钴、碲)、铀等;2)优先勘查矿种:锡(铋、钪)、石墨、萤石等;3)次优先勘查矿种:银、钼(铼、硒)等;4)一般勘查矿种:金刚石、叶蜡石等。
重點勘查礦種優先序列評價對新時期我國地質勘查工作科學部署、提高勘查效果、有效緩解資源壓力具有重要的先導意義。本文在閤理研判未來20年我國主要非油氣礦產資源需求趨勢的基礎上,釐定瞭礦產的優先勘查序列。首先根據我國礦產資源的供需特徵從134種礦產中初步篩選齣48種作為評價樣本;然後建立瞭包括資源安全程度、經濟意義、國防和戰略意義以及資源勘查前景等4項二級指標和未來需求趨勢等11項三級指標的重點勘查礦種評價指標體繫,併運用層次分析法進行瞭繫統評價;最後,結閤共伴生等影響因素,對優先勘查礦種進行瞭閤理歸併,確立瞭我國非油氣礦產勘查的4級優先序列:1)重點勘查礦種:銅(鈷、碲)、鈾等;2)優先勘查礦種:錫(鉍、鈧)、石墨、螢石等;3)次優先勘查礦種:銀、鉬(錸、硒)等;4)一般勘查礦種:金剛石、葉蠟石等。
중점감사광충우선서렬평개대신시기아국지질감사공작과학부서、제고감사효과、유효완해자원압력구유중요적선도의의。본문재합리연판미래20년아국주요비유기광산자원수구추세적기출상,전정료광산적우선감사서렬。수선근거아국광산자원적공수특정종134충광산중초보사선출48충작위평개양본;연후건립료포괄자원안전정도、경제의의、국방화전략의의이급자원감사전경등4항이급지표화미래수구추세등11항삼급지표적중점감사광충평개지표체계,병운용층차분석법진행료계통평개;최후,결합공반생등영향인소,대우선감사광충진행료합리귀병,학립료아국비유기광산감사적4급우선서렬:1)중점감사광충:동(고、제)、유등;2)우선감사광충:석(필、항)、석묵、형석등;3)차우선감사광충:은、목(래、서)등;4)일반감사광충:금강석、협사석등。
The choice of the most important minerals for exploration is of great guiding significance for the promotion of scientific deployment, improvement of the exploration work and alleviation of the pressure on resource supply effectively in the new period. In this paper the authors determined the priority sequence of mineral exploration on the basis of judging demand trends reasonably in the next 20 years. Firstly, 48 minerals were preliminarily screened out from 134 kinds of minerals for further evaluation by analyzing minerals’ supply and demand characteristics and establishing four principles. Secondly, the evaluation index system was established, which included 4 secondary indicators (resource insecurity, economic significance, defense and strategy significance, and exploration prospects) and 11 third-level indicators such as future demand trends. Then the importance ranking of 48 minerals was obtained with AHP. Lastly, some minerals were merged based on the consideration of the associated mineral resources, and then four-grade priority sequence for non-oil mineral exploration was determined: 1) Focused exploration minerals such as copper (cobalt) and uranium; 2) Priority exploration minerals such as Tin, graphite and fluorite; 3) Second priority exploration minerals such as silver, molybdenum and gold; 4) General exploration minerals such as diamond and pyrophyllite.