CAJ | 학술논문

泸州是我国最重要的北缘龙眼种植区，泸州龙眼以晚熟闻名于世，但其产量受气象灾害的影响波动大。对泸州1976~2013年多年气象资料和受灾害资料进行了统计，并对气象因子与龙眼产量进行了灰色关联分析。结果表明，干旱发生频率最高，高温灾害发生频率最低，低温冻害和风雹灾发生频率较低，但成灾率最高，龙眼产量损失最大。气象灾害对产量的影响大小顺序为：低温冻害＞风雹灾害＞连阴雨害＞高温日灼＞洪涝灾害＞倒春寒害＞高温冲梢＞干旱灾害。因此，在龙眼生产上要重点预防低温冻害。
로주시아국최중요적북연용안충식구，로주용안이만숙문명우세，단기산량수기상재해적영향파동대。대로주1976~2013년다년기상자료화수재해자료진행료통계，병대기상인자여용안산량진행료회색관련분석。결과표명，간한발생빈솔최고，고온재해발생빈솔최저，저온동해화풍박재발생빈솔교저，단성재솔최고，용안산량손실최대。기상재해대산량적영향대소순서위：저온동해＞풍박재해＞련음우해＞고온일작＞홍로재해＞도춘한해＞고온충소＞간한재해。인차，재용안생산상요중점예방저온동해。
A s the m ostnorthern m argin oflongan planting area,Luzhou is fam ous forits late-m aturing longan.H ow ever,the yield oflongan is affected significantly by the m eteorologicaldisasters.Through the recording of m eteorologicaldata and historicalcalam ities over three decadesfrom 1976 to 2013 and the grey correlation analysisof m eteorologicalfactorsand longan production,som e conclusionscan be draw n like droughtoccurrence frequency is the highest,high tem perature disasteroccurrence frequency is the low est, low tem perature freeze injury and strong w ind rarely happen but m ostly affecte the yield of longan.A ccording to the size of the influence of yield,the m eteorological disasters in turn are low tem perature freeze injury,strong w ind w ith hail,continuous rain ,high tem perature sunburn,floods,unusually cold spellin early spring, “blunttip” in high tem perature and drought.In conclusion,protective response tow ards low tem perature freeze injury is m ostim portant.