科技与创新
科技與創新
과기여창신
Science and Technology & Innovation
2014年
21期
151-151,155
,共2页
电力负荷%气象因子%预报模型%气象电量
電力負荷%氣象因子%預報模型%氣象電量
전력부하%기상인자%예보모형%기상전량
electric load%meteorological factors%forecasting model%meteorological electricity
通过对长泰1997—2013年逐月供电量与温度、湿度等气象因子的相关性进行分析,得出长泰供电量与气象因子之间的关系。应用非线性最小二乘法得到供电量与气象要素的拟合曲线和定量对应关系,并根据日常气候预测预报结论建立了月供电量预测业务模型,为电力部门提供更加专业、定量的服务产品,为其合理调度提供科学依据。
通過對長泰1997—2013年逐月供電量與溫度、濕度等氣象因子的相關性進行分析,得齣長泰供電量與氣象因子之間的關繫。應用非線性最小二乘法得到供電量與氣象要素的擬閤麯線和定量對應關繫,併根據日常氣候預測預報結論建立瞭月供電量預測業務模型,為電力部門提供更加專業、定量的服務產品,為其閤理調度提供科學依據。
통과대장태1997—2013년축월공전량여온도、습도등기상인자적상관성진행분석,득출장태공전량여기상인자지간적관계。응용비선성최소이승법득도공전량여기상요소적의합곡선화정량대응관계,병근거일상기후예측예보결론건립료월공전량예측업무모형,위전력부문제공경가전업、정량적복무산품,위기합리조도제공과학의거。
Through Changtai 1997-2013 year monthly electricity supply and the temperature, humidity and other weather factors correlation analysis, the relationship Changtai between power supply and meteorological factors. Application of nonlinear least-squares curve fitting method to obtain quantitative correspondence between the power supply and meteorological elements, and in accordance with the daily weather forecast Conclusion forecast monthly electricity supply business model for the electricity sector to provide more professional and quantitative services and products, as provide the scientific basis of its reasonable dispatch.