CAJ | 학술논문

海上丝绸之路的建设受到多种因素影响，这些因素涉及领域广泛且关系复杂。为厘清因素之间的层级关系和影响力排序，为决策者有重点地制定海上丝绸之路建设方案提供参考依据，本文从基础条件、政治外交条件、经济条件、安全条件、保障条件等7个方面构建海上丝绸之路建设的影响因素指标体系。采用解释结构模型（ISM）分析得到由表层直接影响因素、中间层间接影响因素和深层根本影响因素组成的3级多层递阶 ISM ，然后利用层次分析法（AHP）确定表层影响因素的权重排序。结果表明：ISM 能有效地建立海上丝绸之路建设的影响因素层级结构，可以直观地反映出因素间的层次关系；AHP 法可以识别影响海上丝绸之路建设的关键和重点因素，包括专门的管理组织机构完善程度、跨国港口间通关便利性、集疏运网络完善程度。
해상사주지로적건설수도다충인소영향，저사인소섭급영역엄범차관계복잡。위전청인소지간적층급관계화영향력배서，위결책자유중점지제정해상사주지로건설방안제공삼고의거，본문종기출조건、정치외교조건、경제조건、안전조건、보장조건등7개방면구건해상사주지로건설적영향인소지표체계。채용해석결구모형（ISM）분석득도유표층직접영향인소、중간층간접영향인소화심층근본영향인소조성적3급다층체계 ISM ，연후이용층차분석법（AHP）학정표층영향인소적권중배서。결과표명：ISM 능유효지건립해상사주지로건설적영향인소층급결구，가이직관지반영출인소간적층차관계；AHP 법가이식별영향해상사주지로건설적관건화중점인소，포괄전문적관리조직궤구완선정도、과국항구간통관편리성、집소운망락완선정도。
The building of maritime silk road is affected by many factors which involves wide area and has complex relationship . In order to clear the hierarchy structure and influence , and provide references for policy - makers to give priority to formulate maritime silk road building programmers .The factors are constructed with elementary conditions , political diplomatic conditions , economic conditions , safety conditions ,and guarantee conditions .By using interpretative structure model , a 3 - layer hierarchy structure is established includ-ing surface direct factors ,middle - layer indirect and deep fundamental factors which are obtained after analyzing the relationship of factors . Then analytic hierarchy process is introduced to determine the relative weights of surface factors .The results show that using interpretative structure model can effectively establish the factors structure which influencing directly factors’ hierarchical relationships .Using analytic hi-erarchy process can identify the key and important factors including specialized maritime silk road management institutions ,facilitation of customs clearance between ports of countries ,the perfection of system of collection and distribution which are the key factors influencing the building of maritime silk road .