CAJ | 학술논문

随着旅游经济在我国各地区的蓬勃发展,对其发展水平进行合理评价引起了社会各界的关注。以旅游投入、活动、产出三个方面的12个基础指标,并运用动态因子分析方法确定各指标在时间和截面维度的权重,共同构建旅游经济活动发展水平的测度模型；用该模型对我国大陆31个省、市、自治区2001~2011年旅游经济发展水平进行测度,结果表明：各省市区旅游经济发展水平差异显著,空间上呈东部沿海向西北内陆逐次降低的梯度特征；相对而言约1/3的省份发展水平持续上升,1/3省份螺旋式上升,其余省份发展水平降低；且各省份旅游经济发展水平差距还在不断扩大。
수착여유경제재아국각지구적봉발발전,대기발전수평진행합리평개인기료사회각계적관주。이여유투입、활동、산출삼개방면적12개기출지표,병운용동태인자분석방법학정각지표재시간화절면유도적권중,공동구건여유경제활동발전수평적측도모형；용해모형대아국대륙31개성、시、자치구2001~2011년여유경제발전수평진행측도,결과표명：각성시구여유경제발전수평차이현저,공간상정동부연해향서북내륙축차강저적제도특정；상대이언약1/3적성빈발전수평지속상승,1/3성빈라선식상승,기여성빈발전수평강저；차각성빈여유경제발전수평차거환재불단확대。
To study the tourism economic development level,the paper selected 12 basic indicators in three aspects of economic activities,the inputs and the outputs to estimate the tourism economic development level.Based on the panel data,the Dynamic Factor method was used to determine the indicators’ weights in time and cross-section dimensions.The tourism economic development levels of 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions from 2001-201 1 were estimated, and the results showed that the provincial tourism economic development levels were significantly different and gradual declining in geological locations was obvious from the east coast to the northwest.Approximately 1/3 of the provinces’development level continued to rise,1/3 provinces displayed spiral rise,and 1/3 provinces lower level of development. The gaps among the provincial tourism economic development levels are expanding.