气候与环境研究
氣候與環境研究
기후여배경연구
CLIMATIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
2014年
6期
763-772
,共10页
韩云环%马柱国%杨庆%潘志华
韓雲環%馬柱國%楊慶%潘誌華
한운배%마주국%양경%반지화
新疆地区%昼夜降水%变化趋势%时空分布
新疆地區%晝夜降水%變化趨勢%時空分佈
신강지구%주야강수%변화추세%시공분포
Xinjiang%Day and night precipitation%Variation trend%Temporal and spatial distribution
利用新疆地区89个台站1961~2005年昼、夜降水观测数据,分析了该地区昼夜降水过程的时空演变特征,目的是认识这个地区在年降水增加背景下昼夜间降水过程的变化特征及趋势。研究结果表明:(1)1961~2005年,多年平均的降水量为夜大于昼,且昼、夜降水量均呈显著增加趋势;夜降水量增长趋势大于昼降水量,昼、夜年降水量增长趋势分别占年总降水增长趋势的49%、51%,这种变化在南、北疆存在明显的区域差异。昼、夜降水量都存在由少到多的显著突变,但两者发生突变时间不同,昼降水量发生突变的时间为1986年,而夜降水量的突变点却发生在1991年。(2)昼降水日数小于夜降水日数,且昼、夜降水日数都呈显著增加趋势,昼降水日数增加趋势大于夜降水日数。昼、夜降水强度都呈显著增大趋势,夜降水强度及其增长趋势均大于昼降水强度。降水量增加的主要原因是由于降水日数的增多,降水强度对降水量影响较小。(3)昼、夜毛毛雨日数都呈显著减少趋势,昼毛毛雨日数及其减少趋势均大于夜毛毛雨日数。而强降水的日数和强度均呈现增加趋势;昼、夜强降水量和各自的总降水量有很好的相关,强降水量对总降水量的影响很大。引起这些昼、夜间降水变化特征差异的原因有待于进一步研究。
利用新疆地區89箇檯站1961~2005年晝、夜降水觀測數據,分析瞭該地區晝夜降水過程的時空縯變特徵,目的是認識這箇地區在年降水增加揹景下晝夜間降水過程的變化特徵及趨勢。研究結果錶明:(1)1961~2005年,多年平均的降水量為夜大于晝,且晝、夜降水量均呈顯著增加趨勢;夜降水量增長趨勢大于晝降水量,晝、夜年降水量增長趨勢分彆佔年總降水增長趨勢的49%、51%,這種變化在南、北疆存在明顯的區域差異。晝、夜降水量都存在由少到多的顯著突變,但兩者髮生突變時間不同,晝降水量髮生突變的時間為1986年,而夜降水量的突變點卻髮生在1991年。(2)晝降水日數小于夜降水日數,且晝、夜降水日數都呈顯著增加趨勢,晝降水日數增加趨勢大于夜降水日數。晝、夜降水彊度都呈顯著增大趨勢,夜降水彊度及其增長趨勢均大于晝降水彊度。降水量增加的主要原因是由于降水日數的增多,降水彊度對降水量影響較小。(3)晝、夜毛毛雨日數都呈顯著減少趨勢,晝毛毛雨日數及其減少趨勢均大于夜毛毛雨日數。而彊降水的日數和彊度均呈現增加趨勢;晝、夜彊降水量和各自的總降水量有很好的相關,彊降水量對總降水量的影響很大。引起這些晝、夜間降水變化特徵差異的原因有待于進一步研究。
이용신강지구89개태참1961~2005년주、야강수관측수거,분석료해지구주야강수과정적시공연변특정,목적시인식저개지구재년강수증가배경하주야간강수과정적변화특정급추세。연구결과표명:(1)1961~2005년,다년평균적강수량위야대우주,차주、야강수량균정현저증가추세;야강수량증장추세대우주강수량,주、야년강수량증장추세분별점년총강수증장추세적49%、51%,저충변화재남、북강존재명현적구역차이。주、야강수량도존재유소도다적현저돌변,단량자발생돌변시간불동,주강수량발생돌변적시간위1986년,이야강수량적돌변점각발생재1991년。(2)주강수일수소우야강수일수,차주、야강수일수도정현저증가추세,주강수일수증가추세대우야강수일수。주、야강수강도도정현저증대추세,야강수강도급기증장추세균대우주강수강도。강수량증가적주요원인시유우강수일수적증다,강수강도대강수량영향교소。(3)주、야모모우일수도정현저감소추세,주모모우일수급기감소추세균대우야모모우일수。이강강수적일수화강도균정현증가추세;주、야강강수량화각자적총강수량유흔호적상관,강강수량대총강수량적영향흔대。인기저사주、야간강수변화특정차이적원인유대우진일보연구。
Observational day and night precipitation data from 89 stations in Xinjiang province during 1961–2005 were used to assess the temporal and spatial changes in daytime and nighttime precipitation processes. The goal of this investigation is to understand the change characteristics and trends of the precipitation process in both the daytime and nighttime in this area, under a background of increasing annual precipitation. The results show that the multi-year average of annual precipitation at nighttime was larger than at daytime during 1961–2005 and that precipitation increased significantly in both the day and the night. The increasing trend of precipitation is larger in the nighttime than in the daytime, with the annual increasing trend in the daytime and nighttime respectively accounting for 49% and 51% of the total increasing trend in annual precipitation. In addition, there are significant regional differences between southern and northern Xinjiang. The amounts of daytime and nighttime precipitation both show significant jumps, but at different times:In 1986 for the daytime, and in 1991 for nighttime precipitation. Further, the annual number of rainy days during the daytime is less than it is at nighttime, although they both show a clear increasing trend. This trend of increasing rainy days is greater for daytime precipitation than it is for the nighttime. Precipitation intensity in the daytime and nighttime also show a significant increase, with both precipitation intensity and the growth rate of precipitation intensity being greater at night than they are during the day. The increase in the number of rainy days is the main cause of the total increase in precipitation, while changes in precipitation intensity have little influence on the total. Meanwhile, the annual number of drizzle days show a distinct decrease in both the daytime and the nighttime. Drizzle days during the daytime are greater than at nighttime, and the decreasing rate is the same between day and night. Finally, the numbers of heavy precipitation days and their intensity both show an increasing trend. The daytime and nighttime heavy precipitation has a significant correlation with their respective total precipitation amounts, thus, heavy precipitation has a considerable influence on total precipitation. Further study is required to establish the causes of these differences in precipitation change characteristics between the daytime and nighttime.