气候与环境研究
氣候與環境研究
기후여배경연구
CLIMATIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
2014年
6期
713-725
,共13页
汪汇洁%孙建华%卫捷%赵思雄
汪彙潔%孫建華%衛捷%趙思雄
왕회길%손건화%위첩%조사웅
持续性暴雨%客观方法%江淮%华南
持續性暴雨%客觀方法%江淮%華南
지속성폭우%객관방법%강회%화남
Persistent heavy rainfall%Objective method%Yangtze and Huaihe River valley%South China
利用中国站点日降水资料对1981~2011年我国南方地区区域持续性暴雨(PHREs)进行了分类研究。按照区域内至少连续5 d 或5 d 以上有不小于10个格点[分辨率0.25o(纬度)×0.25o(经度)]出现大于等于50 mm降水且相邻两日雨带重合率不小于20%的标准,采用客观分析的方法分别挑选出我国江淮区域和华南区域PHREs。江淮区域非台风影响的 PHREs 31例,集中发生在6月中旬到7月中旬,平均持续8.29 d,华南非台风影响的 PHREs 34例,集中发生在6~7月,平均持续6.24 d,这两类事件的发生频次和强度均呈年代际增长。江淮区域受台风影响的 PHREs 4例,集中发生在7月中下旬到8月初。华南受台风系统影响的 PHREs 31例,集中发生在7~9月,此类事件的发生频次和系统强度在2000年以后均明显上升。采用场相关的客观分类方法对非台风影响的 PHREs 进行较为细致的分类,将江淮区域持续性暴雨事件分为 A 型(主雨带在长江以南)、B 型(主雨带在长江以北)和 C 型(主雨带在长江沿江地区),将华南区域持续性暴雨事件分为 E 型(主雨带在云贵高原以东)和 F 型(主雨带位于云贵高原和广西),该分类将为下一步的机制研究提供帮助。
利用中國站點日降水資料對1981~2011年我國南方地區區域持續性暴雨(PHREs)進行瞭分類研究。按照區域內至少連續5 d 或5 d 以上有不小于10箇格點[分辨率0.25o(緯度)×0.25o(經度)]齣現大于等于50 mm降水且相鄰兩日雨帶重閤率不小于20%的標準,採用客觀分析的方法分彆挑選齣我國江淮區域和華南區域PHREs。江淮區域非檯風影響的 PHREs 31例,集中髮生在6月中旬到7月中旬,平均持續8.29 d,華南非檯風影響的 PHREs 34例,集中髮生在6~7月,平均持續6.24 d,這兩類事件的髮生頻次和彊度均呈年代際增長。江淮區域受檯風影響的 PHREs 4例,集中髮生在7月中下旬到8月初。華南受檯風繫統影響的 PHREs 31例,集中髮生在7~9月,此類事件的髮生頻次和繫統彊度在2000年以後均明顯上升。採用場相關的客觀分類方法對非檯風影響的 PHREs 進行較為細緻的分類,將江淮區域持續性暴雨事件分為 A 型(主雨帶在長江以南)、B 型(主雨帶在長江以北)和 C 型(主雨帶在長江沿江地區),將華南區域持續性暴雨事件分為 E 型(主雨帶在雲貴高原以東)和 F 型(主雨帶位于雲貴高原和廣西),該分類將為下一步的機製研究提供幫助。
이용중국참점일강수자료대1981~2011년아국남방지구구역지속성폭우(PHREs)진행료분류연구。안조구역내지소련속5 d 혹5 d 이상유불소우10개격점[분변솔0.25o(위도)×0.25o(경도)]출현대우등우50 mm강수차상린량일우대중합솔불소우20%적표준,채용객관분석적방법분별도선출아국강회구역화화남구역PHREs。강회구역비태풍영향적 PHREs 31례,집중발생재6월중순도7월중순,평균지속8.29 d,화남비태풍영향적 PHREs 34례,집중발생재6~7월,평균지속6.24 d,저량류사건적발생빈차화강도균정년대제증장。강회구역수태풍영향적 PHREs 4례,집중발생재7월중하순도8월초。화남수태풍계통영향적 PHREs 31례,집중발생재7~9월,차류사건적발생빈차화계통강도재2000년이후균명현상승。채용장상관적객관분류방법대비태풍영향적 PHREs 진행교위세치적분류,장강회구역지속성폭우사건분위 A 형(주우대재장강이남)、B 형(주우대재장강이북)화 C 형(주우대재장강연강지구),장화남구역지속성폭우사건분위 E 형(주우대재운귀고원이동)화 F 형(주우대위우운귀고원화엄서),해분류장위하일보적궤제연구제공방조。
The persistent heavy rainfall events (PHREs) over southern China during 1981?2011 are classified by utilizing the daily precipitation data at 752 stations in China. PHREs in the Yangtze and Huaihe River Valley (YHRV) and PHREs in South China (SC) during 1981–2011 are selected on the basis of the following criteria: More than 10 grids [0.25°(latitude)×0.25°(longitude)] in the area with daily precipitation of more than 50 mm lasting more than five days and rainband coincidence degree greater than 20%. The statistics reveal that 31 PHREs in the YHRV were concentrated between mid-June to mid-July with an average duration of 8.29 days, whereas 34 non-typhoon PHREs in SC were concentrated in June and July with an average duration of 6.24 days. Moreover, the frequency and intensity of these two types changed in decadal growth. PHREs affected by the typhoon systems in the YHRV were concentrated between mid-July and early August. Those occurring in SC were concentrated from July to September, and their frequency and intensity have increased since 2000. Objective pattern correlation statistics are used to classify and discuss the non-typhoon PHREs in detail. PHREs in the YHRV are divided into three types: (A) main rainbelt to the south of the Yangtze River (YR), (B) main rainbelt to the north of the YR, (C) main rainbelt along the YR, and PHREs in SC are classified into two types: (E) main rain belt to the east of the Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau and (F) main rainbelt located over the Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau and Guangxi Province. On the basis of such classification, the mechanisms of PHREs will be discussed in future studies.