电子科学技术
電子科學技術
전자과학기술
Electronic Science & Technology
2014年
2期
246-256
,共11页
可靠性预计%电子产品%协变量模型%故障物理模型
可靠性預計%電子產品%協變量模型%故障物理模型
가고성예계%전자산품%협변량모형%고장물리모형
Reliability prediction%Electronic products%Covariate model%Physics of failure model
本文总结了电子产品可靠性预计从20世纪50年代产生至今60多年的发展历史，对已有的电子产品可靠性预计方法进行了分类，对常用的基于协变量模型和基于故障物理模型的两类重要预计方法分别进行了分析和比较。分析结果表明，针对不同特点、处于不同寿命周期阶段以及具有不同可靠性相关信息的电子产品应选取合适的可靠性预计方法，在更加全面和准确地预计其可靠性水平的同时，消除设计与工艺缺陷，提高其可靠性水平。
本文總結瞭電子產品可靠性預計從20世紀50年代產生至今60多年的髮展歷史，對已有的電子產品可靠性預計方法進行瞭分類，對常用的基于協變量模型和基于故障物理模型的兩類重要預計方法分彆進行瞭分析和比較。分析結果錶明，針對不同特點、處于不同壽命週期階段以及具有不同可靠性相關信息的電子產品應選取閤適的可靠性預計方法，在更加全麵和準確地預計其可靠性水平的同時，消除設計與工藝缺陷，提高其可靠性水平。
본문총결료전자산품가고성예계종20세기50년대산생지금60다년적발전역사，대이유적전자산품가고성예계방법진행료분류，대상용적기우협변량모형화기우고장물리모형적량류중요예계방법분별진행료분석화비교。분석결과표명，침대불동특점、처우불동수명주기계단이급구유불동가고성상관신식적전자산품응선취합괄적가고성예계방법，재경가전면화준학지예계기가고성수평적동시，소제설계여공예결함，제고기가고성수평。
This paper summarized the development history of more than 60 years of reliability prediction for electronic products since 1950s. Most of the existing methods were included and classified. There are two common and important methods, Covariate-Models-based method and Physics-of-Failure-Models-based method were analysis and compared. The analysis results showed that we should choose proper reliability methods for electronic products with different characteristics, in different stage of life cycle and with different reliability related information, which will help to quantificationally predict reliability indexes of them in a more comprehensive and accurate way, eliminate the design and manufacturing defects and improve their reliability.
