CAJ | 학술논문

农户对不同林业经营形式的选择一直是林业经营关注的主要问题之一，对于林业的可持续发展极为重要。本文基于福建省842个样本农户的调研数据，采用主成分分析与多元 Logit回归模型分析农户选择单户经营、联户经营及股份经营意愿的影响因素。主成分分析的结果显示，林业生产经营水平、政策制度及采伐指标申请3个因子占总方差的72.21%。回归结果显示，对农户不同林业经营形式选择意愿的主要影响因素中，农户受教育水平、林地分散程度、采伐指标获取难度、林业收入占家庭总收入比重、林业生产经营水平、家庭劳动力数量、政策制度等对农户的选择意愿有不同程度的影响。在此基础上，提出政府要充分尊重林农意愿，同时因地制宜地引导林农选择适合的经营形式，加大扶持力度，推进林业整体发展。
농호대불동임업경영형식적선택일직시임업경영관주적주요문제지일，대우임업적가지속발전겁위중요。본문기우복건성842개양본농호적조연수거，채용주성분분석여다원 Logit회귀모형분석농호선택단호경영、련호경영급고빈경영의원적영향인소。주성분분석적결과현시，임업생산경영수평、정책제도급채벌지표신청3개인자점총방차적72.21%。회귀결과현시，대농호불동임업경영형식선택의원적주요영향인소중，농호수교육수평、임지분산정도、채벌지표획취난도、임업수입점가정총수입비중、임업생산경영수평、가정노동력수량、정책제도등대농호적선택의원유불동정도적영향。재차기출상，제출정부요충분존중임농의원，동시인지제의지인도임농선택괄합적경영형식，가대부지력도，추진임업정체발전。
In attempts to foster sustainable forest management practices,households’intentions in choosing different forestry management models have been widely recognized as a core issue in forest management. This paper analyzed the factors influencing households’intention in choosing individual household management,partnership management and joint shareholding management. Based on data collected through a household survey of 842 households in Sanming,Fujian Province,principal component analysis and multinomial logit model were used to analyze the above-mentioned households’ intention. Principal component analysis showed that the three factors of the forest management level,policy and logging quota accounted for 72. 21% of the total variance. The multinomial logit model exhibited that household’s education level,dispersion degree of forestland,difficulty obtaining logging quota,percentage of forestry income in total household income,forestry management level,number of household labor and policy were found to be the main factors influencing choosing the forestry management model. Thus,the government should fully respect farmers ’ intentions in choosing forestry management model and guide them to choose the suitable management model in local conditions. Further support should be strengthened to promote the overall forestry development.