国际儿科学杂志
國際兒科學雜誌
국제인과학잡지
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PEDIATRICS
2013年
1期
104-106
,共3页
曾昭成%于长春%孙志伟%宋明媚%陈小桥%程丽萍
曾昭成%于長春%孫誌偉%宋明媚%陳小橋%程麗萍
증소성%우장춘%손지위%송명미%진소교%정려평
判别分析%巨细胞病毒性肺炎%疾病筛查%预测模型
判彆分析%巨細胞病毒性肺炎%疾病篩查%預測模型
판별분석%거세포병독성폐염%질병사사%예측모형
Discriminant analysis%Cytomegalovirus pneumonia%Disease screening%Prediction model
目的 为巨细胞病毒性肺炎筛查寻找可靠且简便易行的判断准则,以减少巨细胞病毒性肺炎的漏诊和误治.方法 应用判别分析方法对收集的56例巨细胞病毒性肺炎和42例普通病毒导致的喘息性支气管炎病例数据进行处理,建立诊断结果预测模型.结果 经过变量筛选最后只有年龄、淋巴细胞计数和血小板计数三个指标进入模型,所建立的巨细胞病毒性肺炎筛查模型的灵敏度为80.36%,特异度为80.95%,误诊率为19.05%,漏诊率为19.64%,诊断符合率为80.61%.结论 采用判别分析建立的巨细胞病毒性肺炎诊断预测模型简洁易懂,可操作性强,预测准确率较高,能为医务人员提供有力的筛查手段.
目的 為巨細胞病毒性肺炎篩查尋找可靠且簡便易行的判斷準則,以減少巨細胞病毒性肺炎的漏診和誤治.方法 應用判彆分析方法對收集的56例巨細胞病毒性肺炎和42例普通病毒導緻的喘息性支氣管炎病例數據進行處理,建立診斷結果預測模型.結果 經過變量篩選最後隻有年齡、淋巴細胞計數和血小闆計數三箇指標進入模型,所建立的巨細胞病毒性肺炎篩查模型的靈敏度為80.36%,特異度為80.95%,誤診率為19.05%,漏診率為19.64%,診斷符閤率為80.61%.結論 採用判彆分析建立的巨細胞病毒性肺炎診斷預測模型簡潔易懂,可操作性彊,預測準確率較高,能為醫務人員提供有力的篩查手段.
목적 위거세포병독성폐염사사심조가고차간편역행적판단준칙,이감소거세포병독성폐염적루진화오치.방법 응용판별분석방법대수집적56례거세포병독성폐염화42례보통병독도치적천식성지기관염병례수거진행처리,건립진단결과예측모형.결과 경과변량사선최후지유년령、림파세포계수화혈소판계수삼개지표진입모형,소건립적거세포병독성폐염사사모형적령민도위80.36%,특이도위80.95%,오진솔위19.05%,루진솔위19.64%,진단부합솔위80.61%.결론 채용판별분석건립적거세포병독성폐염진단예측모형간길역동,가조작성강,예측준학솔교고,능위의무인원제공유력적사사수단.
Objective To look for a reliable and convenient judgement criteria for the screening of cytomegalovirus pneumonia in order to reduce misdiagnosis and resulted mistherapy.Methods Process collected data on fifty-six cytomegalovirus pneumonia and forty-two common viruses induced asthmatic bronchitis cases by use of discriminant analysis to construct prediction model of diagnosis result.Results Only three indexes including age,lymph count and platelet count were selected into the model via sift.The performance of the established screening model showed as follows:sensitivity was 80.36%,specificity was 80.95%,misdiagnosis rate was 19.05%,false negative rate was 19.64%,diagnostic accordance rate was 80.61%.Conclusion Being concise and of strong maneuverability and high accuracy in prediction,cytomegalovirus pneumonia diagnosis model constructed through discriminant analysis can provide powerful screening means for medical staff.