中华急诊医学杂志
中華急診醫學雜誌
중화급진의학잡지
CHINESE JOURNAL OF EMERGENCY MEDICINE
2013年
11期
1256-1259
,共4页
葛文汉%李兵%阮海林%黄福文%杨家有
葛文漢%李兵%阮海林%黃福文%楊傢有
갈문한%리병%원해림%황복문%양가유
院前指数%创伤%急性%住院患者%损伤严重度评分%病情评估
院前指數%創傷%急性%住院患者%損傷嚴重度評分%病情評估
원전지수%창상%급성%주원환자%손상엄중도평분%병정평고
Prehospital index%Trauma%Acute%Hospitalized patient%Injury severity score%Condition assessment
目的 评估院前指数(PHI)在急性创伤住院患者中的应用价值.方法 随机抽取急性创伤住院患者1802例,分别行PHI和损伤严重度评分(ISS).以出院日期为观察终点,结局为观察指标,利用受试者工作特征曲线(ROC曲线)找出最佳截断点,以ISS为参照,计算患者相应的预测指标,比较PHI预测急性创伤住院患者预后的价值.结果 PHI与ISS评分ROC曲线下面积分别为0.871 (95%CI:0.855~0.886)、0.792 (95%CI:0.773~0.811),二者差异具有统计学意义(Z=2.674,P=0.007);判断急性创伤住院患者“潜在危重症”的最佳截断点分别为PHI≥4分、ISS≥ 22分;PHI对危重症患者死亡预测的的灵敏度优于ISS(x2=6.975,P=0.008),而特异度、准确度与ISS差异无统计学意义(P>0.05).结论 PHI对急性创伤住院患者的预后评估具有较高的分辨能力,并优于ISS评分;PHI评分操作简便、易于掌握、反映病情及时可靠,有利于院内创伤患者危重症的早期发现与救治.
目的 評估院前指數(PHI)在急性創傷住院患者中的應用價值.方法 隨機抽取急性創傷住院患者1802例,分彆行PHI和損傷嚴重度評分(ISS).以齣院日期為觀察終點,結跼為觀察指標,利用受試者工作特徵麯線(ROC麯線)找齣最佳截斷點,以ISS為參照,計算患者相應的預測指標,比較PHI預測急性創傷住院患者預後的價值.結果 PHI與ISS評分ROC麯線下麵積分彆為0.871 (95%CI:0.855~0.886)、0.792 (95%CI:0.773~0.811),二者差異具有統計學意義(Z=2.674,P=0.007);判斷急性創傷住院患者“潛在危重癥”的最佳截斷點分彆為PHI≥4分、ISS≥ 22分;PHI對危重癥患者死亡預測的的靈敏度優于ISS(x2=6.975,P=0.008),而特異度、準確度與ISS差異無統計學意義(P>0.05).結論 PHI對急性創傷住院患者的預後評估具有較高的分辨能力,併優于ISS評分;PHI評分操作簡便、易于掌握、反映病情及時可靠,有利于院內創傷患者危重癥的早期髮現與救治.
목적 평고원전지수(PHI)재급성창상주원환자중적응용개치.방법 수궤추취급성창상주원환자1802례,분별행PHI화손상엄중도평분(ISS).이출원일기위관찰종점,결국위관찰지표,이용수시자공작특정곡선(ROC곡선)조출최가절단점,이ISS위삼조,계산환자상응적예측지표,비교PHI예측급성창상주원환자예후적개치.결과 PHI여ISS평분ROC곡선하면적분별위0.871 (95%CI:0.855~0.886)、0.792 (95%CI:0.773~0.811),이자차이구유통계학의의(Z=2.674,P=0.007);판단급성창상주원환자“잠재위중증”적최가절단점분별위PHI≥4분、ISS≥ 22분;PHI대위중증환자사망예측적적령민도우우ISS(x2=6.975,P=0.008),이특이도、준학도여ISS차이무통계학의의(P>0.05).결론 PHI대급성창상주원환자적예후평고구유교고적분변능력,병우우ISS평분;PHI평분조작간편、역우장악、반영병정급시가고,유리우원내창상환자위중증적조기발현여구치.
Objective To evaluate the application value of prehospital index (PHI) in hospitalized patients with acute trauma.Methods A study was done in 1802 hospitalized patients with acute trauma by random sampling.PHI and injury severity score (ISS) were made respectively.Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was used for detecting optimal cut-off point by taking the date of discharge as the endpoint and the outcome as observed indicator.In order to compare the predicting prognosis value of PHI in hospitalized patients with acute trauma,the corresponding predicting indicators were calculated and ISS was used for reference.Results The area under the ROC curve was 0.871 (95% CI:0.855-0.886) by the score of PHI and 0.792 (95% CI:0.773-0.811) by the score of ISS,and there was statistically difference between the two scoring systems (Z =2.674,P =0.007),and the optimal cut-off point was used for judging "the potential for critically ill patients" when PHI was ≥ 4,ISS ≥ 22.The sensitivity predictors of critically ill patients death of PHI was superior to ISS (x2 =6.975,P =0.008),the specificity and the accuracy of PHI and ISS showed no significant difference (P > 0.05).Conclusions PHI has high potential for assessing patient condition and predicting the death of hospitalized patients with acute trauma,and it is equivalent to ISS in prediction value.The advantages of PHI are simple in operation,easy to learn,reflecting the condition timely and reliably,suitable for dynamic evaluation and comparison,which is suitable for critical patients with trauma of preliminary screening.