CAJ | 학술논문

目的分析2000-2010年北京市户籍居民期望寿命变化规律以及主要疾病死亡率变化对期望寿命增量的影响.方法应用简略寿命表、期望寿命差异的年龄和死因分解法对北京市户籍居民2000-2010年死因监测数据进行分析,计算各主要疾病死亡率变化对期望寿命增量的贡献值和百分比.结果 10年间北京市户籍居民期望寿命增加了3.35岁.≥80岁组和65～岁组居民死亡率下降对期望寿命的增加贡献较大,贡献率分别为44.27％(1.48岁)和26.76％(0.90岁).脑血管病和心脏病是对期望寿命增加贡献最大的两类疾病,贡献率分别为41.21％(1.38岁)和21.39％(0.72岁),而恶性肿瘤是阻碍期望寿命增加的最主要疾病,其贡献率为-26.00％(-0.87岁).结论 2000-2010年北京市户籍居民期望寿命增长主要归因于老年人以及心脑血管病死亡率的下降,而恶性肿瘤死亡率的上升则阻碍其增加.
목적 분석2000-2010년북경시호적거민기망수명변화규률이급주요질병사망솔변화대기망수명증량적영향.방법 응용간략수명표、기망수명차이적년령화사인분해법대북경시호적거민2000-2010년사인감측수거진행분석,계산각주요질병사망솔변화대기망수명증량적공헌치화백분비.결과 10년간북경시호적거민기망수명증가료3.35세.≥80세조화65～세조거민사망솔하강대기망수명적증가공헌교대,공헌솔분별위44.27％(1.48세)화26.76％(0.90세).뇌혈관병화심장병시대기망수명증가공헌최대적량류질병,공헌솔분별위41.21％(1.38세)화21.39％(0.72세),이악성종류시조애기망수명증가적최주요질병,기공헌솔위-26.00％(-0.87세).결론 2000-2010년북경시호적거민기망수명증장주요귀인우노년인이급심뇌혈관병사망솔적하강,이악성종류사망솔적상승칙조애기증가.
Objective To analyze the change of life expectancy and the impact of mortality by age and causes of death on this issue among permanent residents of Beijing.Methods Abridged Life Table and Arriaga method were used to calculate and to decompose the changes on life expectancy by age and causes of death in 2000-2010.Results From 2000-2010,life expectancy under this studied population had an increase of 3.35 years.Most part of the increases (44.27％,1.48 years) within the last 10 years could be explained by the decrease of mortality in the population at age ≥ 80.Both cerebrovascular and heart diseases were contributing the most to the increment of life expectancy while mortality of malignant tumors appeared a negative contributor to this increment.Conclusion From 2000 to 2010,increment in life expectancy contributed to the decrease of mortality in the elderly and the decrease of mortalities on both cardio-and cerebro-vascular diseases.The decrease of life expectancy was mainly due to the increase of mortality related to malignant tumors.