中华流行病学杂志
中華流行病學雜誌
중화류행병학잡지
CHINESE JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
2014年
3期
266-270
,共5页
于伟文%杜鹏程%陈晨%卢珊%阚飙%杜孝平%徐建国
于偉文%杜鵬程%陳晨%盧珊%闞飆%杜孝平%徐建國
우위문%두붕정%진신%로산%감표%두효평%서건국
H7N9禽流感病毒%禽类交易市场%风险预测%实时网络信息技术
H7N9禽流感病毒%禽類交易市場%風險預測%實時網絡信息技術
H7N9금류감병독%금류교역시장%풍험예측%실시망락신식기술
Avian influenza A (H7N9) virus%Farmer's markets with live birds%Risk forecast%Real-time information technology
目的 探讨利用互联网数据分析活禽市场与人感染H7N9禽流感病例之间的地理关系.方法 利用网络大数据的方法,对人感染H7N9禽流感病例附近的活禽市场开展基于地理位置和可及性研究,搜索全部有病例报告地区的活禽市场,分析不同城市间活禽市场密度、人群密度、禽类生产密度等因素.结果 对42个报告病例的地级以上城市10615个活禽市场与病例所在地的距离分析表明,发病例数与常住人口密度、市场数量及其密度呈正相关性;在已报告的13个H7N9禽流感病毒检测阳性活禽市场中,除广东佛山市的3个市场外,其余都在5km内发现病例,表明活禽交易与病例的居住地分布密切相关;共识别出13个病例较集中的热点区域,分布在杭州、深圳等市.结论 H7N9禽流感病毒检测阳性活禽市场所在城市的报告病例数明显高于其他城市,且影响范围多在5km范围内,应重新审视农贸活禽市场在城市中的布局和设置.
目的 探討利用互聯網數據分析活禽市場與人感染H7N9禽流感病例之間的地理關繫.方法 利用網絡大數據的方法,對人感染H7N9禽流感病例附近的活禽市場開展基于地理位置和可及性研究,搜索全部有病例報告地區的活禽市場,分析不同城市間活禽市場密度、人群密度、禽類生產密度等因素.結果 對42箇報告病例的地級以上城市10615箇活禽市場與病例所在地的距離分析錶明,髮病例數與常住人口密度、市場數量及其密度呈正相關性;在已報告的13箇H7N9禽流感病毒檢測暘性活禽市場中,除廣東彿山市的3箇市場外,其餘都在5km內髮現病例,錶明活禽交易與病例的居住地分佈密切相關;共識彆齣13箇病例較集中的熱點區域,分佈在杭州、深圳等市.結論 H7N9禽流感病毒檢測暘性活禽市場所在城市的報告病例數明顯高于其他城市,且影響範圍多在5km範圍內,應重新審視農貿活禽市場在城市中的佈跼和設置.
목적 탐토이용호련망수거분석활금시장여인감염H7N9금류감병례지간적지리관계.방법 이용망락대수거적방법,대인감염H7N9금류감병례부근적활금시장개전기우지리위치화가급성연구,수색전부유병례보고지구적활금시장,분석불동성시간활금시장밀도、인군밀도、금류생산밀도등인소.결과 대42개보고병례적지급이상성시10615개활금시장여병례소재지적거리분석표명,발병례수여상주인구밀도、시장수량급기밀도정정상관성;재이보고적13개H7N9금류감병독검측양성활금시장중,제엄동불산시적3개시장외,기여도재5km내발현병례,표명활금교역여병례적거주지분포밀절상관;공식별출13개병례교집중적열점구역,분포재항주、심수등시.결론 H7N9금류감병독검측양성활금시장소재성시적보고병례수명현고우기타성시,차영향범위다재5km범위내,응중신심시농무활금시장재성시중적포국화설치.
Objective Farmer' s markets with live birds (FMLB) are key sites where human infections by influenza A virus subtype H7N9 happened.Approximately 80% cases have exposed to FMLB.This study is to investigate the geographic relationship between FMLB and human cases based on analysis of internet data of their geographic locations.Methods Using big data from internet,we searched all FMLB in the cities where the human cases have been reported,then analyzed geographic relations,and evaluated the possibility of visits of the patients to the FMLB around them.The densities of FMLB,population and live poultries were also analyzed.Results Forty-two cities and 10 615 markets were included in the study.It is indicated that the number of human cases has positive correlations with the population density,the number and density of markets.Except three markets in Foshan,human cases have been reported within 5 km of 10 of 13 markets,which shows that the live bird trading is highly relevant with the distribution of cases.We identified 13 hot spots in the cities including Hangzhou,Shenzhen,et al,where clustered cases have emerged.Conclusion The numbers of human cases are significantly high in cities where FMLB are detected positive for H7N9 virus.These virus positive markets usually affect the people's residence within 5km area.The number and location of FMLB in cities should be re-evaluated and re-planed for healthy city where the risk of residents infecting avian influenza virus is greatly reduced or eliminated.