中华流行病学杂志
中華流行病學雜誌
중화류행병학잡지
CHINESE JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
2013年
2期
157-159
,共3页
尹家祥%钟佑宏%杜春红%董兴齐%杨淑惠
尹傢祥%鐘祐宏%杜春紅%董興齊%楊淑惠
윤가상%종우굉%두춘홍%동흥제%양숙혜
家鼠鼠疫疫源地%黄胸鼠%丰盛度%预测因子
傢鼠鼠疫疫源地%黃胸鼠%豐盛度%預測因子
가서서역역원지%황흉서%봉성도%예측인자
Commensal rodent plague foci%Rattus tanezumi%Abundance%Predictors
目的 研究家鼠鼠疫疫源地影响室内黄胸鼠丰盛度的因子.方法 在云南省梁河县选择30个鼠疫历史疫源村,每个村随机抽取20户家庭,放置鼠笼捕获鼠类动物,根据动物的外形特征鉴定其种类.采用调查和实地相结合的方式收集潜在影响黄胸鼠丰盛度的因子.采用EpiData软件建立数据库,在R软件下进行多水平跨栏回归统计分析.结果 共捕获166只鼠类动物(黄胸鼠133只和臭鼩鼱33只).多水平回归分析结果显示:傣族、铁桶储存粮食、家中养犬、住家周围有其他房屋的家庭增加捕获黄胸鼠的概率为1.67 ~ 2.76倍,养鸡家庭超过80%的自然村其捕获黄胸鼠数量增加2.18倍,有公共厕所的自然村增加了捕获黄胸鼠的概率为1.93倍,同时也增加捕获数量2.38倍.自然村周围种植玉米以及养猫、牛的家庭降低了捕获黄胸鼠的概率(45% ~ 61%),院外有厕所的家庭捕获黄胸鼠数量下降63%.结论 黄胸鼠丰盛度高低与周围生态环境因素有密切关系.疫区为达到预防和控制鼠疫的最佳效果,须考虑影响黄胸鼠丰盛度的生态环境因素.
目的 研究傢鼠鼠疫疫源地影響室內黃胸鼠豐盛度的因子.方法 在雲南省樑河縣選擇30箇鼠疫歷史疫源村,每箇村隨機抽取20戶傢庭,放置鼠籠捕穫鼠類動物,根據動物的外形特徵鑒定其種類.採用調查和實地相結閤的方式收集潛在影響黃胸鼠豐盛度的因子.採用EpiData軟件建立數據庫,在R軟件下進行多水平跨欄迴歸統計分析.結果 共捕穫166隻鼠類動物(黃胸鼠133隻和臭鼩鼱33隻).多水平迴歸分析結果顯示:傣族、鐵桶儲存糧食、傢中養犬、住傢週圍有其他房屋的傢庭增加捕穫黃胸鼠的概率為1.67 ~ 2.76倍,養鷄傢庭超過80%的自然村其捕穫黃胸鼠數量增加2.18倍,有公共廁所的自然村增加瞭捕穫黃胸鼠的概率為1.93倍,同時也增加捕穫數量2.38倍.自然村週圍種植玉米以及養貓、牛的傢庭降低瞭捕穫黃胸鼠的概率(45% ~ 61%),院外有廁所的傢庭捕穫黃胸鼠數量下降63%.結論 黃胸鼠豐盛度高低與週圍生態環境因素有密切關繫.疫區為達到預防和控製鼠疫的最佳效果,鬚攷慮影響黃胸鼠豐盛度的生態環境因素.
목적 연구가서서역역원지영향실내황흉서봉성도적인자.방법 재운남성량하현선택30개서역역사역원촌,매개촌수궤추취20호가정,방치서롱포획서류동물,근거동물적외형특정감정기충류.채용조사화실지상결합적방식수집잠재영향황흉서봉성도적인자.채용EpiData연건건립수거고,재R연건하진행다수평과란회귀통계분석.결과 공포획166지서류동물(황흉서133지화취구정33지).다수평회귀분석결과현시:태족、철통저존양식、가중양견、주가주위유기타방옥적가정증가포획황흉서적개솔위1.67 ~ 2.76배,양계가정초과80%적자연촌기포획황흉서수량증가2.18배,유공공측소적자연촌증가료포획황흉서적개솔위1.93배,동시야증가포획수량2.38배.자연촌주위충식옥미이급양묘、우적가정강저료포획황흉서적개솔(45% ~ 61%),원외유측소적가정포획황흉서수량하강63%.결론 황흉서봉성도고저여주위생태배경인소유밀절관계.역구위체도예방화공제서역적최가효과,수고필영향황흉서봉성도적생태배경인소.
Objective To explore the predictors on the abundance of Rattus (R.) tanezumi in households of commensal rodent plague foci.Methods Thirty natural villages that experienced previous plague cases in Lianghe county,Yunnan province,were selected followed by random selection of 20 households in each village through computer technique.Live traps were set in households to capture small mammals which were then identified to species in the field according to their morphological features.Data on potential factors for abundance of R.tanezumi were collected through questionnaires and field observation and were coded and computerized using EpiData software and further analyzed by hurdle regression model under R software.Results A total of 166 rodents (133 R.tanezumi and 33 Suucus murinus) were captured.Results from final multilevel hurdle regression model showed that the likelihood of R.tanezumi captures increased by 1.67-to 2.76-fold in households belonged to Dai ethnic families that stored foodstuff in metal pails,often raising dogs,and having adjacent houses.The number of R.tanezumi captures increased by 2.18-fold in the villages where over 80% of the households would raise chickens.In the villages with communal latrine,the likelihood and the number of R.tanezumi capture increased 1.93-fold and 2.38-fold,respectively.While the likelihood of R.tanezumi captures would reduce by 45%-61% in those households where there were cats and cattle being raised and maize grown in the village.The number of R.tanezumi captures would reduce by 63% in the households where there were outside toilets.Conclusion The abundance of R.tanczumi seemed to be closely related to the ecological environment factors.Programs on plague control and prevention should relate to ecological factors that influencing the abundance of R.tanezumi.