CAJ | 학술논문

传统的公交出行主要考虑出行者的实际出行时间,本文在浙江湖州的调查数据基础上,建立基于出行者心理因素的公共交通方式选择模型,运用BL模型既从整体上对比分析公交与私人交通方式之间的竞争关系,又分别对比分析公交与摩托车、电动车、自行车的竞争关系.由模型的预测结果可知通过改变出行环境可以大大提高公交分担率,效果十分显著;调查分析和模型的结果都证实了满足出行者心理需求对于提高公交吸引力的显著作用,为提高公交出行分担率和服务水平提供了参考.
전통적공교출행주요고필출행자적실제출행시간,본문재절강호주적조사수거기출상,건립기우출행자심리인소적공공교통방식선택모형,운용BL모형기종정체상대비분석공교여사인교통방식지간적경쟁관계,우분별대비분석공교여마탁차、전동차、자행차적경쟁관계.유모형적예측결과가지통과개변출행배경가이대대제고공교분담솔,효과십분현저;조사분석화모형적결과도증실료만족출행자심리수구대우제고공교흡인력적현저작용,위제고공교출행분담솔화복무수평제공료삼고.
The traditional public travel mainly considers actual travel time. Based on the data surveyed in the city of Huzhou, Zhejiang province, this paper established a public transit mode choice model by considering passenger’s psychological need. Then a Binary Logit model was used to compare and analyze the public and personal travel modes, public traffic and motor, public traffic and electric motor, public traffic and bike separately. The model’s forecast results show that the improvement of travel environment can enhance public traffic’s proportion greatly. Both the analysis of survey and the results of the model prove that satisfying passenger’s psychological need is very important to enhance public traffic’s attraction. It provides good advice to improve the share of public traffic and level of service.