CAJ | 학술논문

针对高强度水资源开发利用条件下流域水循环研究存在的问题,从认知、试验、理论、方法四个层次探讨了适应水资源开发利用条件的流域水循环的研究方法,构建了一个以水资源配置模型与水循环模型耦合为核心,以流域供需水分析和流域生态、环境、经济综合评价为响应的多目标调控模型.利用该模型,对黄河流域水资源进行了合理配置计算.结果表明,现状条件下黄河流域缺水严重;而在未来情境下缺水将更加严重,大力节水能够较大程度缓解缺水状况.
침대고강도수자원개발이용조건하류역수순배연구존재적문제,종인지、시험、이론、방법사개층차탐토료괄응수자원개발이용조건적류역수순배적연구방법,구건료일개이수자원배치모형여수순배모형우합위핵심,이류역공수수분석화류역생태、배경、경제종합평개위향응적다목표조공모형.이용해모형,대황하류역수자원진행료합리배치계산.결과표명,현상조건하황하류역결수엄중;이재미래정경하결수장경가엄중,대력절수능구교대정도완해결수상황.
@@@@The paper expounded t he problems on the w atershed water cycle research under the conditions of intensive develop2 ment and utilization of w ater resources. On the basis of these problems, the paper discussed the research met hods of w atershed water cycle to cope w ith the development and utilizat ion of w ater resources f rom four aspects, including the perception, experi2 ment, theory, and method. A mult i2objective model was developed based on t he coupling of w ater resources al ocation model and water cycle model, and it took the w atershed w ater supply and demand analysis and the comprehensive evaluation of watershed e2 cology, environment, and economy as the responses. The model was used to perform reasonable w ater resources allocation in the Yel ow River Basin. The results suggested that under the Yellow River suffers a serious water shortage under the current conditions, and water shortage can become more serious in future. Therefore, water saving can alleviate the serious water shortage problem.