CAJ | 학술논문

利用内蒙古和林格尔县气象站1959年-2010年的气温和降水量数据,对和林格尔地区气温和降水的时间变化进行了分析.气温和降水量的距平分析、趋势分析、相关性分析、突变性分析和 Hurst 指数分析的结果显示,随着时间的推移,该地区气温在未来将保持持续上升的趋势(0136 e /(10 a))而且或将更明显,微弱的年降水量下降趋势(-814 mm/(10 a))极有可能改变;气温和降水量之间不具有明显的相关性;冬季气温和夏季降水分别是影响年平均气温和年降水量的最重要因素;年平均气温在1986年-1988年间发生了突变,年降水量则未发生.分析该地区气温和降水量等气候因素演变特征,对全面了解并合理利用当地气候资源,以及对水资源的可持续利用和加强生态环境保护等方面具有重要意义.
이용내몽고화림격이현기상참1959년-2010년적기온화강수량수거,대화림격이지구기온화강수적시간변화진행료분석.기온화강수량적거평분석、추세분석、상관성분석、돌변성분석화 Hurst 지수분석적결과현시,수착시간적추이,해지구기온재미래장보지지속상승적추세(0136 e /(10 a))이차혹장경명현,미약적년강수량하강추세(-814 mm/(10 a))겁유가능개변;기온화강수량지간불구유명현적상관성;동계기온화하계강수분별시영향년평균기온화년강수량적최중요인소;년평균기온재1986년-1988년간발생료돌변,년강수량칙미발생.분석해지구기온화강수량등기후인소연변특정,대전면료해병합리이용당지기후자원,이급대수자원적가지속이용화가강생태배경보호등방면구유중요의의.
The tempo ral var iatio ns o f air t emperat ur e and precipitatio n in H eling eer, Inner Mongo lia were analyzed based o n the monitor ing data of a ir temperature and pr ecipitatio n in the H eling eer meteo ro log ical statio n from 1959 to 2010. The anomaly, trend, cor relation, mutat ion, and H urst index analyses w ere conducted in the paper . Results showed that there is an increasing trend o f temper atur e ( 0. 36 e / ( 10 a) ) in the ar ea, w hile the w eak decr easing trend of precipitation ( - 81 4 mm/ ( 10 a) ) is like2 ly t o chang e; the air temper atur e does no t hav e an apparent relationship w ith the precipit ation; t he w int er temper ature and sum2 mer precipitation ar e the mo st impor tant influencing factor s of the annual aver age atmospher ic temperatur e and annual pr ecipita2 tion, r espectively; the a ir temperature had mutatio ns between 1986 and 1988, while pr ecipitatio n didn't. Analy sis o f var iatio n char acter istics o f climate facto rs has g r eat sig nificance on t he knowledg e and r easo nable utilizat ion o f t he climat e r eso ur ces, sus2 tainable utilizatio n o f water resources, and reinfor cement o f eco log ical env iro nment pro tect ion.