CAJ | 학술논문

通过选取《2012年山东省统计年鉴》中的相关数据,采用协整理论,量化山东省城乡居民消费结构与收入的关系,通过对比分析城镇与农村的差异,剖析消费结构、不同时期居民的消费特征及其内在关系.研究结果表明:山东省城乡居民消费与收入存在着长期均衡和短期波动的关系,而且农村居民消费与收入之间的相关性要高于城镇居民.为此建议,应全面正确了解城乡居民的收入与消费特征及其变动趋势,为有关部门进行产品调整和科学预测提供依据.
통과선취《2012년산동성통계년감》중적상관수거,채용협정이론,양화산동성성향거민소비결구여수입적관계,통과대비분석성진여농촌적차이,부석소비결구、불동시기거민적소비특정급기내재관계.연구결과표명:산동성성향거민소비여수입존재착장기균형화단기파동적관계,이차농촌거민소비여수입지간적상관성요고우성진거민.위차건의,응전면정학료해성향거민적수입여소비특정급기변동추세,위유관부문진행산품조정화과학예측제공의거.
@@@@This article used the co-integration theory to quantify the relationship between the urban and rural residents’consumption structure and income of Shandong Province by selecting the relevant data of the“2012 Statistical Yearbook of Shandong Province”. By comparing the differences between urban and rural areas,we analyzed the consumption structure,the residents’ consumption characteristics of different periods and their internal relations. The results show that:urban and rural residents’consumption and income of Shandong Province existed the relationships of long-run equilibrium and short-term fluctuations,and the correlation between consumption and income of rural residents is higher than that of urban residents. Therefore,it is recommended that we should have a full and correct understanding to the urban and rural residents’ income and consumption characteristics and its change tendency. The study could provide the basis for the relevant departments’product adjustment and scientific predictions.