技术经济与管理研究
技術經濟與管理研究
기술경제여관리연구
TECHNOECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT RESEARCH
2013年
6期
89-93
,共5页
碳排放%低碳经济%能源消耗%能源战略
碳排放%低碳經濟%能源消耗%能源戰略
탄배방%저탄경제%능원소모%능원전략
Carbon emissions%Low carbon economy%Energy consumption%Energy strategy
在发展低碳经济应对气候变化的背景下,山东作为经济大省、能耗大省承担着重要的减排任务.然而,不合理的产业结构和能源消费结构等诸多因素,给山东省碳减排任务的顺利完成带来了巨大的挑战.因此,对山东省碳排放情况进行核算,并同相关地区开展比较研究,分析总结山东省碳排放的演化规律,进而讨论碳排放的主要驱动因素,对山东省碳排放控制具有重要的现实意义.文章应用Kaya恒等式采用IPCC的清单计算方法,对山东省及相关地区的碳排放量进行了核算;并根据纵向和横向的比较研究,分析了山东省碳排放的演化规律;进而重点研究了区域经济发展、能源强度、碳强度、能源消费结构、产业结构等因素对区域碳排放的影响,从而有针对性地提出了建立循环经济体系、促进产业结构低碳化升级等碳减排对策,为山东省顺利实现碳减排目标、提升环境质量提供参考.
在髮展低碳經濟應對氣候變化的揹景下,山東作為經濟大省、能耗大省承擔著重要的減排任務.然而,不閤理的產業結構和能源消費結構等諸多因素,給山東省碳減排任務的順利完成帶來瞭巨大的挑戰.因此,對山東省碳排放情況進行覈算,併同相關地區開展比較研究,分析總結山東省碳排放的縯化規律,進而討論碳排放的主要驅動因素,對山東省碳排放控製具有重要的現實意義.文章應用Kaya恆等式採用IPCC的清單計算方法,對山東省及相關地區的碳排放量進行瞭覈算;併根據縱嚮和橫嚮的比較研究,分析瞭山東省碳排放的縯化規律;進而重點研究瞭區域經濟髮展、能源彊度、碳彊度、能源消費結構、產業結構等因素對區域碳排放的影響,從而有針對性地提齣瞭建立循環經濟體繫、促進產業結構低碳化升級等碳減排對策,為山東省順利實現碳減排目標、提升環境質量提供參攷.
재발전저탄경제응대기후변화적배경하,산동작위경제대성、능모대성승담착중요적감배임무.연이,불합리적산업결구화능원소비결구등제다인소,급산동성탄감배임무적순리완성대래료거대적도전.인차,대산동성탄배방정황진행핵산,병동상관지구개전비교연구,분석총결산동성탄배방적연화규률,진이토론탄배방적주요구동인소,대산동성탄배방공제구유중요적현실의의.문장응용Kaya항등식채용IPCC적청단계산방법,대산동성급상관지구적탄배방량진행료핵산;병근거종향화횡향적비교연구,분석료산동성탄배방적연화규률;진이중점연구료구역경제발전、능원강도、탄강도、능원소비결구、산업결구등인소대구역탄배방적영향,종이유침대성지제출료건립순배경제체계、촉진산업결구저탄화승급등탄감배대책,위산동성순리실현탄감배목표、제승배경질량제공삼고.
Under the background of developing low-carbon economy to tackle climate change, Shandong as a major economic province and energy consumption province bears the major task of reducing emissions. However, unreasonable industrial structure and energy consumption structure, and many other factors brought a huge challenge to the successful completion of the carbon reduction tasks in Shandong Province. So, calculating the carbon emissions of Shandong, comparing with related regions, and then study the main driving factors have important practical significance for Shandong to control carbon emission. This paper uses the Kaya identity and IPCC inven-tory calculation to calculate the carbon emissions for Shandong Province and its related areas, and analyses the evolution regular of the carbon emissions in Shandong province on the basis of the vertical and horizontal comparison. Then the paper analyses the impact on carbon emissions from the view of economic development, energy intensity, carbon intensity, energy consumption structure and indus-trial structure, meanwhile proposing the carbon emission reduction countermeasures that establish recycling economy, promote industri-al structure upgrade to low-carbon, in order to provide a reference for Shandong Province to successfully achieve the emission reduction targets and improve the quality of the environment.
