CAJ | 학술논문

针对目前环灾应急决策系统中预案信息化程度低、动态应急能力不足的问题,文中在数字化预案的基础上,提出了一套基于案例推理(CBR)和基于规则推理(RBR)相结合的智能辅助决策机制.鉴于环灾应急事件的复杂性,许多应急处置方案都是基于过去的经验,而且应急过程中又随时有可能出现新的应急目标,文中采用了以CBR方法为主,RBR方法为辅的CR智能辅助决策方法.这种方法能更有效地实现复杂环灾应急的辅助决策需要,最后通过某化工园应急决策实例展示了文中所讨论的方法的过程.
침대목전배재응급결책계통중예안신식화정도저、동태응급능력불족적문제,문중재수자화예안적기출상,제출료일투기우안례추리(CBR)화기우규칙추리(RBR)상결합적지능보조결책궤제.감우배재응급사건적복잡성,허다응급처치방안도시기우과거적경험,이차응급과정중우수시유가능출현신적응급목표,문중채용료이CBR방법위주,RBR방법위보적CR지능보조결책방법.저충방법능경유효지실현복잡배재응급적보조결책수요,최후통과모화공완응급결책실례전시료문중소토론적방법적과정.
In view of the problems of low level of informationization and lack of flexibility to change situations in current environmental disaster decision support system,proposed one solution based on plan digitalization combining case-based reasoning and rule-based rea-soning to help with decision making in environmental disaster. In the area of environmental disaster decision,many of the disposal con-cepts are based on past experience and new targets may occur anytime during the emergency. Therefore,use CBR as major and RBR as auxiliary in the approach. In this way,the decision can be made in a more efficient way. In the end,use an example for one chemical in-dustrial park to demonstrate the process of this approach.