CAJ | 학술논문

统计数据表明,广西CPI波动大于全国的平均波动水平.从时间序列角度分析,1978年以来,影响广西年度CPI定基指数的具体因素主要有广西固定资产投资总额、广西各项存款年末余额、广西进出口差额、广西存货增加额和政府消费等五个变量,这五个变量可以解释广西CPI定基指数的95.6%的变差.1990—2009年的20年间,广西的CPI波动幅度大于全国的主要原因有两个:一是固定资产投资的波动幅度大于全国平均水平,二是存货增加的波动幅度大于全国平均水平.
통계수거표명,엄서CPI파동대우전국적평균파동수평.종시간서렬각도분석,1978년이래,영향엄서년도CPI정기지수적구체인소주요유엄서고정자산투자총액、엄서각항존관년말여액、엄서진출구차액、엄서존화증가액화정부소비등오개변량,저오개변량가이해석엄서CPI정기지수적95.6%적변차.1990—2009년적20년간,엄서적CPI파동폭도대우전국적주요원인유량개:일시고정자산투자적파동폭도대우전국평균수평,이시존화증가적파동폭도대우전국평균수평.
Statistical data show that the CPI fluctuation degree in Guangxi is wilder than the national average degree. A time series alalysis finds the variables affecting the annual CPI fixed base index from 1978 in Guangxi include the total investment in fixed assets, balance of deposits, balance of imports and exports, stock accrual and government consumption. This five variables decide 95.6 pecent of the change balance of the CPI fluctuation. During the period from 1990 to 2009, the resons why Guangxi’s CPI fluctuated more wildly than the national average mainly lied in two aspects: the investment fluctuation in fixed assets was wilder than the national average; the stock accrual fluctuation was wilder than the national average.