CAJ | 학술논문

汶川地震后,中国灾难教育体系建设得到前所未有的重视和加强,但该公共政策实施效果仍存在争论,文章旨在利用客观数据和计量方法评估公共政策实施的效果.基于全国代表性小学生问卷调研数据,利用logit和ordered probit回归技术,对灾难教育体系政策实施效果进行评估.结果发现,五位一体的灾难教育体系显著促进了学生灾难知识水平的提高,这项公共政策的实施收到了良好效果.在研究结论基础上,提出了进一步提升灾难教育体系政策效果的政策建议,包括重视自我教育、深入挖掘社区灾难教育功能等.
문천지진후,중국재난교육체계건설득도전소미유적중시화가강,단해공공정책실시효과잉존재쟁론,문장지재이용객관수거화계량방법평고공공정책실시적효과.기우전국대표성소학생문권조연수거,이용logit화ordered probit회귀기술,대재난교육체계정책실시효과진행평고.결과발현,오위일체적재난교육체계현저촉진료학생재난지식수평적제고,저항공공정책적실시수도료량호효과.재연구결론기출상,제출료진일보제승재난교육체계정책효과적정책건의,포괄중시자아교육、심입알굴사구재난교육공능등.
After the Wenchuan earthquake,the construction of disaster education system in China get unprecedented attention and strengthen.But there are controversies about the implementation effect of the public policy.The study aims at assessing the implementation effect of public policy by utilizing objective data and econometric methods.Based on the investigation data about nationwide and representative pupils,we assessed the implementation effect of disaster education system policy by using logit regression model and ordered probit regression model.The results show that the“five-in-one”disaster education sys?tem has promoted students’ level of disaster education notably which tells that the implementation of this public policy has played good effects.On base of the research conclusion,we put forward some suggestions which include that we should pay more attention on self-education and digging the function of community disaster education.