CAJ | 학술논문

通过对流质概念的引入梳理和细化,在搜集和整理1978—2010年山东省入境旅游相关数据的基础上,对30余年来山东省入境旅游流的流量和流质进行了年际变化分析.结果发现:①山东省入境旅游流流质由不稳定趋向于稳定,并最终保持在0.8的平均水平,为普低质入境旅游流;②山东省入境旅游流流量增速快且波动幅度小,即山东省入境旅游成长迅速,旅游规模发展理想;③总体上讲,山东省入境旅游成长是不可逆的(特殊年份除外),呈现阶梯状递进过程,以4年为一个发展小周期.
통과대류질개념적인입소리화세화,재수집화정리1978—2010년산동성입경여유상관수거적기출상,대30여년래산동성입경여유류적류량화류질진행료년제변화분석.결과발현:①산동성입경여유류류질유불은정추향우은정,병최종보지재0.8적평균수평,위보저질입경여유류;②산동성입경여유류류량증속쾌차파동폭도소,즉산동성입경여유성장신속,여유규모발전이상;③총체상강,산동성입경여유성장시불가역적(특수년빈제외),정현계제상체진과정,이4년위일개발전소주기.
With the introduction and refining of the concept tourism flow quality,based on the collected data of Shandong inbound tourism flow data from 1978 to 2010,the paper analyzed the yearly change of the tourism flow quantity and quality of Shandong inbound tourism in the last 30 years. Results are as follows:①Tourism flow quality of Shandong inbound tourism grows to be more stable and finally keeps the level of 0.8 in average belonging to the generally low inbound tourism flow quality. ②Quantity of Shandong inbound tourism flow grows fast with a small fluctuation range,which means that the scale development is quite optimistic. ③In general,growth of Shandong Province inbound tourism is irreversible(special years excepted) and the growth shows a stepped progressive process with a four-years cycle.