衡水学院学报
衡水學院學報
형수학원학보
JOURNAL OF HENGSHUI UNIVERSITY
2013年
1期
113-117
,共5页
流通产业%经济增长%贡献%实证分析%菲德模型
流通產業%經濟增長%貢獻%實證分析%菲德模型
류통산업%경제증장%공헌%실증분석%비덕모형
circulation industry%economic growth%contribution%empirical analysis%Feder Model
通过选取流通产业从业人数占社会总从业人数比重、社会消费品零售额以及流通产业产值占 GDP 比重等指标,分析流通产业发展对就业、消费及经济增长的贡献.研究发现,从纵向比较看,我国流通产业发展对就业、消费及经济增长的贡献有较大提升;从横向比较看,与发达国家存在较大差距.进一步通过“菲德模型”测算发现,我国流通产业发展对经济增长产生较高的直接贡献和间接外溢贡献.
通過選取流通產業從業人數佔社會總從業人數比重、社會消費品零售額以及流通產業產值佔 GDP 比重等指標,分析流通產業髮展對就業、消費及經濟增長的貢獻.研究髮現,從縱嚮比較看,我國流通產業髮展對就業、消費及經濟增長的貢獻有較大提升;從橫嚮比較看,與髮達國傢存在較大差距.進一步通過“菲德模型”測算髮現,我國流通產業髮展對經濟增長產生較高的直接貢獻和間接外溢貢獻.
통과선취류통산업종업인수점사회총종업인수비중、사회소비품령수액이급류통산업산치점 GDP 비중등지표,분석류통산업발전대취업、소비급경제증장적공헌.연구발현,종종향비교간,아국류통산업발전대취업、소비급경제증장적공헌유교대제승;종횡향비교간,여발체국가존재교대차거.진일보통과“비덕모형”측산발현,아국류통산업발전대경제증장산생교고적직접공헌화간접외일공헌.
How the development of circulation industry contributes to the employment and consumption as well as economic growth can be demonstrated through the proportion of circulation industry employees in total employees of society and retail sales of social consumption goods as well as the proportion of circulation industry’s output value in GDP. Researches show that in vertical comparison the development of circulation industry contributes much more than before to the employment, consumption and economic growth, while there is a wide gap with the developed countries in horizontal comparison. Further exploration with the application of Feder Model illustrates that the development of Chinese circulation industry has made to the economic growth great direct contribution and indirect spillover.