生态环境学报
生態環境學報
생태배경학보
ECOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENT
2012年
12期
1923-1927
,共5页
安佑志%刘朝顺*%施润和%高炜%殷杰
安祐誌%劉朝順*%施潤和%高煒%慇傑
안우지%류조순*%시윤화%고위%은걸
MODIS%一元线性回归%Mann-Kendall非参数检验%长江三角洲地区
MODIS%一元線性迴歸%Mann-Kendall非參數檢驗%長江三角洲地區
MODIS%일원선성회귀%Mann-Kendall비삼수검험%장강삼각주지구
MODIS%linear regression%Mann-Kendall non-parametric test%Yangtze River Delta region
在快速城市化的长江三角洲地区,植被覆盖状况变化问题已经引起公众的关注并且成为科学研究的热点.植被指数作为监测植被和生态环境变化的有效指标而得到广泛应用.基于2000—2011年的Terra Modis NDVI植被指数数据集,从时间尺度和空间变化上分析长江三角洲地区植被变化特征,应用一元线性回归趋势分析方法和更适合研究非正态分布数据的Mann-Kendall非参数检验方法对长江三角洲地区的植被覆盖状况进行研究.研究结果表明,(1)利用Terra Modis NDVI 数据可以很好地从宏观上监测长江三角洲地区植被覆盖的时空变化.(2)植被覆盖的时空变化是自然和人类活动共同作用的结果,特别是在快速城市化的长江三角洲地区,人类活动对植被覆盖的影响更为剧烈,并且植被覆盖变化对人类活动做出积极的响应.12年来,长江三角洲地区植被覆盖总体呈下降趋势,尤其是研究区中的城市及周边地区则以显著下降趋势为主,说明长江三角洲地区随着城市化进程的加速,植被覆盖状况正面临着恶化.(3)一元线性回归趋势分析方法和Mann-Kendall非参数检验方法对植被变化趋势的检测总体上趋于一致,两者可以相互印证,但局部有差异.因此,当进行局部区域植被覆盖变化的深入研究及驱动力分析时,需要较高分辨率的数据作为辅助数据.研究揭示了快速城市化背景下长江三角洲地区植被覆盖变化的规律,从而为长江三角洲地区生态保护和植被恢复提供有利的依据和借鉴.
在快速城市化的長江三角洲地區,植被覆蓋狀況變化問題已經引起公衆的關註併且成為科學研究的熱點.植被指數作為鑑測植被和生態環境變化的有效指標而得到廣汎應用.基于2000—2011年的Terra Modis NDVI植被指數數據集,從時間呎度和空間變化上分析長江三角洲地區植被變化特徵,應用一元線性迴歸趨勢分析方法和更適閤研究非正態分佈數據的Mann-Kendall非參數檢驗方法對長江三角洲地區的植被覆蓋狀況進行研究.研究結果錶明,(1)利用Terra Modis NDVI 數據可以很好地從宏觀上鑑測長江三角洲地區植被覆蓋的時空變化.(2)植被覆蓋的時空變化是自然和人類活動共同作用的結果,特彆是在快速城市化的長江三角洲地區,人類活動對植被覆蓋的影響更為劇烈,併且植被覆蓋變化對人類活動做齣積極的響應.12年來,長江三角洲地區植被覆蓋總體呈下降趨勢,尤其是研究區中的城市及週邊地區則以顯著下降趨勢為主,說明長江三角洲地區隨著城市化進程的加速,植被覆蓋狀況正麵臨著噁化.(3)一元線性迴歸趨勢分析方法和Mann-Kendall非參數檢驗方法對植被變化趨勢的檢測總體上趨于一緻,兩者可以相互印證,但跼部有差異.因此,噹進行跼部區域植被覆蓋變化的深入研究及驅動力分析時,需要較高分辨率的數據作為輔助數據.研究揭示瞭快速城市化揹景下長江三角洲地區植被覆蓋變化的規律,從而為長江三角洲地區生態保護和植被恢複提供有利的依據和藉鑒.
재쾌속성시화적장강삼각주지구,식피복개상황변화문제이경인기공음적관주병차성위과학연구적열점.식피지수작위감측식피화생태배경변화적유효지표이득도엄범응용.기우2000—2011년적Terra Modis NDVI식피지수수거집,종시간척도화공간변화상분석장강삼각주지구식피변화특정,응용일원선성회귀추세분석방법화경괄합연구비정태분포수거적Mann-Kendall비삼수검험방법대장강삼각주지구적식피복개상황진행연구.연구결과표명,(1)이용Terra Modis NDVI 수거가이흔호지종굉관상감측장강삼각주지구식피복개적시공변화.(2)식피복개적시공변화시자연화인류활동공동작용적결과,특별시재쾌속성시화적장강삼각주지구,인류활동대식피복개적영향경위극렬,병차식피복개변화대인류활동주출적겁적향응.12년래,장강삼각주지구식피복개총체정하강추세,우기시연구구중적성시급주변지구칙이현저하강추세위주,설명장강삼각주지구수착성시화진정적가속,식피복개상황정면림착악화.(3)일원선성회귀추세분석방법화Mann-Kendall비삼수검험방법대식피변화추세적검측총체상추우일치,량자가이상호인증,단국부유차이.인차,당진행국부구역식피복개변화적심입연구급구동력분석시,수요교고분변솔적수거작위보조수거.연구게시료쾌속성시화배경하장강삼각주지구식피복개변화적규률,종이위장강삼각주지구생태보호화식피회복제공유리적의거화차감.
As one of the most sensitive areas responding to the rapid urbanization, the Yangtze River Delta region has been recognized as a scientific research hotspot and attracted the attention of the public for coupled studies on vegetation coverage. Due to large area coverage and long-time span, vegetation index is widely used as an effective indicator for monitoring changes in vegetation and the ecological environment at regional scales. Using Terra Modis NDVI vegetation index data set from 2000 to 2011, we analyzed the spatio-temporal vegetation variations covering the Yangtze River Delta region in China. As to the methodology for analyzing vegetation dynamics, linear regression and the Mann-Kendall nonparametric test were mostly used to analyze time serial NDVI data. In these methods, vegetation dynamic trends were analyzed through calculating the regression slope and U statistic. The results show that:(1) Terra Modis NDVI dataset are able of monitoring the spatio-temporal variation of the vegetation cover in the entire Yangtze River Delta region;(2) The spatio-temporal variation of the vegetation coverage is a result of the natural and human activities. Especially in the rapid urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta region, vegetation coverage makes a positive response to intensive human activities. In the past 12 years, the vegetation cover of the Yangtze River Delta region is facing overall degradation trend and even deterioration, especially in the city and sub-city with the accelerated urbanization; (3) A linear regression trend analysis method for the detection of vegetation change trends was found to be in overall acceptable agreement with Mann-Kendall nonparametric test method. Therefore, it needs to analyze the driving force of the vegetation coverage change at local area, and higher resolution data would be required as an auxiliary. This study reveals the trends of vegetation coverage change in the Yangtze River Delta region in the context of rapid urbanization, which provides a favorable reference for the ecological protection and vegetation recovery.