技术经济与管理研究
技術經濟與管理研究
기술경제여관리연구
TECHNOECONOMICS & MANAGEMENT RESEARCH
2013年
5期
10-14
,共5页
巴希%乌云娜%胡新亮%李泽众
巴希%烏雲娜%鬍新亮%李澤衆
파희%오운나%호신량%리택음
基础设施项目%公司合作制%粗糙集%理想点法%项目风险
基礎設施項目%公司閤作製%粗糙集%理想點法%項目風險
기출설시항목%공사합작제%조조집%이상점법%항목풍험
Infrastructure projects%Public-private partnership%Rough Set theory%Topsis method%Project risk
公私合作制将私人资本、技术和管理经验引入基础设施建设及运营项目,发挥了巨大的经济效益和社会效益.在我国公私合作项目的实践过程中,风险分担不明确始终是阻碍该模式在基础设施投融资领域进行广泛推广的关键因素,严重时甚至导致项目的失败.针对承担风险的主体不确定这一影响公私双方持久稳定合作的问题,通过案例分析和文献研究识别出风险分担主体不明确的风险因素,在此基础上利用粗糙集方法对风险分担评价指标体系中指标进行属性约简,以剔除对于分担结果影响较小的因素.理想点法能够对具有不同风险分担偏好的评价人做出的风险承担选择进行评价,以确定合理的风险分担方案.评价结果为公私双方制定合理的风险分担方案提供参考.
公私閤作製將私人資本、技術和管理經驗引入基礎設施建設及運營項目,髮揮瞭巨大的經濟效益和社會效益.在我國公私閤作項目的實踐過程中,風險分擔不明確始終是阻礙該模式在基礎設施投融資領域進行廣汎推廣的關鍵因素,嚴重時甚至導緻項目的失敗.針對承擔風險的主體不確定這一影響公私雙方持久穩定閤作的問題,通過案例分析和文獻研究識彆齣風險分擔主體不明確的風險因素,在此基礎上利用粗糙集方法對風險分擔評價指標體繫中指標進行屬性約簡,以剔除對于分擔結果影響較小的因素.理想點法能夠對具有不同風險分擔偏好的評價人做齣的風險承擔選擇進行評價,以確定閤理的風險分擔方案.評價結果為公私雙方製定閤理的風險分擔方案提供參攷.
공사합작제장사인자본、기술화관리경험인입기출설시건설급운영항목,발휘료거대적경제효익화사회효익.재아국공사합작항목적실천과정중,풍험분담불명학시종시조애해모식재기출설시투융자영역진행엄범추엄적관건인소,엄중시심지도치항목적실패.침대승담풍험적주체불학정저일영향공사쌍방지구은정합작적문제,통과안례분석화문헌연구식별출풍험분담주체불명학적풍험인소,재차기출상이용조조집방법대풍험분담평개지표체계중지표진행속성약간,이척제대우분담결과영향교소적인소.이상점법능구대구유불동풍험분담편호적평개인주출적풍험승담선택진행평개,이학정합리적풍험분담방안.평개결과위공사쌍방제정합리적풍험분담방안제공삼고.
Public-Private-Partnership introduces private capital, technology and management experience into infrastructure con-struction and operation of projects, which brings huge economic and social benefits. In the practice of public-private partnership pro-ject, the unclear risk-sharing is always the key factor hindering the PPP pattern to widely promote in infrastructure investment and fi-nancing, even lead to project failure. Aimed at the uncertainty of main body bearing risk, which affects the lasting stability of Public-Private-Partnership. Through case studies and literature research, this paper identified the risk factors which has unclear risk-sharing body. On this basis, using Rough Set method to evaluate the risk-sharing index system and reduce the attributes which affect the risk-sharing result least. The TOPSIS method can evaluate the program by the people with different risk-sharing preferences that will deter-mine the most reasonable one. Meantime, the evaluation results provide a reference for both public and private to develop a reasonable risk-sharing scheme.