CAJ | 학술논문

全球气候变化对全球自然系统和社会经济产生了显著的影响,近百年来的气候变暖已经成为既定的科学事实.目前,世界各国对于发展低碳经济、建设低碳城市及承担碳减排任务以应对气候变化的共识不断得到加强,在此背景下,低碳社会、低碳生活等理念为人们所广泛关注和推崇.本文综述了气候变化的科学事实、碳排放与城市化之间的内在联系;阐述了低碳经济、低碳城市、“脱钩”理论、环境库兹涅茨理论、生态足迹和碳足迹理论的理论内涵;评述了目前低碳城市发展水平的测度指标体系、计算方法和评价标准,重点分析了人均碳排放、碳生产率、碳排放强度和碳能源排放系数等城市低碳发展水平指标,以及DPSIR模型、生态足迹模型、主成分分析和层次分析综合模型等低碳发展水平评价模型.最后,提出了目前该研究领域存在的科学问题,展望了未来的研究重点和发展方向.
전구기후변화대전구자연계통화사회경제산생료현저적영향,근백년래적기후변난이경성위기정적과학사실.목전,세계각국대우발전저탄경제、건설저탄성시급승담탄감배임무이응대기후변화적공식불단득도가강,재차배경하,저탄사회、저탄생활등이념위인문소엄범관주화추숭.본문종술료기후변화적과학사실、탄배방여성시화지간적내재련계;천술료저탄경제、저탄성시、“탈구”이론、배경고자열자이론、생태족적화탄족적이론적이론내함;평술료목전저탄성시발전수평적측도지표체계、계산방법화평개표준,중점분석료인균탄배방、탄생산솔、탄배방강도화탄능원배방계수등성시저탄발전수평지표,이급DPSIR모형、생태족적모형、주성분분석화층차분석종합모형등저탄발전수평평개모형.최후,제출료목전해연구영역존재적과학문제,전망료미래적연구중점화발전방향.
The climate warming in recent hundred years has been approved that global climate change effected obviously on global natural system and social economy. Under background of climate warming, the studies of low-carbon economy and low-carbon city had caused wide public concern. In this paper, the intrinsic relations between climate change, carbon emission and urban development were studied; the theory contents of low-carbon economy and low-carbon city were overviewed. The decoupling theory, EKC theory, ecological footprint and carbon footprint theories were used to analyze the response relations among economy development, resource environment and energy consuming. The current index system, calculation methods and evaluation criteria of low-carbon city measurement were analyzed. Per capita carbon emission, carbon productivity and carbon energy emission modulus were used to measure low-carbon city development index; DPSIR model, ecological footprint model, PCA model and AHP model were used to measure low-carbon city development level. These analysis methods supported theory study and practice of low-carbon city.