西安财经学院学报
西安財經學院學報
서안재경학원학보
JOURNAL OF XI'AN INSTITUTE OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS
2013年
2期
5-10
,共6页
价格水平%最优价格模型%非理性投资%投资者情绪
價格水平%最優價格模型%非理性投資%投資者情緒
개격수평%최우개격모형%비이성투자%투자자정서
stock price level%optimal price model%inrational investment%investor sentiment
文章首先采用Tobit模型研究了我国股票市场的投资者结构,发现个人投资者持股比例与股票价格显著负相关.由于个人投资者易出现非理性投资,因而个人投资者持股比例高的股票受到投资者非理性因素影响较大.然后,分别采用四因子模型和Fama & MacBeth时间序列横截面回归法,验证了价格水平与投资者非理性因素的关系,即:与高价格股票相比,低价格股票受到投资者非理性因素影响较大,收益率更高.最后,将投资者情绪加入到股票最优价格水平模型中,完善了该模型,为公司管理层提供更加全面的股票最优价格水平的分析框架.
文章首先採用Tobit模型研究瞭我國股票市場的投資者結構,髮現箇人投資者持股比例與股票價格顯著負相關.由于箇人投資者易齣現非理性投資,因而箇人投資者持股比例高的股票受到投資者非理性因素影響較大.然後,分彆採用四因子模型和Fama & MacBeth時間序列橫截麵迴歸法,驗證瞭價格水平與投資者非理性因素的關繫,即:與高價格股票相比,低價格股票受到投資者非理性因素影響較大,收益率更高.最後,將投資者情緒加入到股票最優價格水平模型中,完善瞭該模型,為公司管理層提供更加全麵的股票最優價格水平的分析框架.
문장수선채용Tobit모형연구료아국고표시장적투자자결구,발현개인투자자지고비례여고표개격현저부상관.유우개인투자자역출현비이성투자,인이개인투자자지고비례고적고표수도투자자비이성인소영향교대.연후,분별채용사인자모형화Fama & MacBeth시간서렬횡절면회귀법,험증료개격수평여투자자비이성인소적관계,즉:여고개격고표상비,저개격고표수도투자자비이성인소영향교대,수익솔경고.최후,장투자자정서가입도고표최우개격수평모형중,완선료해모형,위공사관리층제공경가전면적고표최우개격수평적분석광가.
This paper use Tobit model to find that individual investors prefer investing in the low‐price stocks .Individual investors are prone to do irrational investment .And then ,it use Four‐Factor model and Fama & MacBeth time series cross‐sectional regression method to verify that low‐price stocks have been affected more by irrational factors ,that is :low‐price stocks have higher return than high‐price stocks by the reason of irrational factors of the investors .Irrational factors should be added to Optimal Price Model to provide a more comprehensive analysis framework for the management to decide the optimal price level .