华东经济管理
華東經濟管理
화동경제관리
EAST CHINA ECONOMIC MANAGEMENT
2013年
6期
65-69
,共5页
中国—东盟自贸区%投资效应%空间经济学%倍差法
中國—東盟自貿區%投資效應%空間經濟學%倍差法
중국—동맹자무구%투자효응%공간경제학%배차법
China-ASEAN Free Trade Area%investment effect%spatial economics%differences-in-differences
中国—东盟自贸区建设已经步入到“深度一体化”阶段,深入分析及度量中国—东盟自贸区的投资效应对此有着较好的指导意义.文章在空间经济学理论分析基础上,运用倍差法对中国—东盟自贸区生产转移效应进行了有效的计量估计.实证结果说明虽然中国—东盟自贸区成立对成员国FDI流入有着明显的正向促进作用,但力度较小,远远低于生产规模及消费规模等更为直接的因素,自贸区内部潜力还有待进一步挖掘.并在进一步现实分析的基础上,提出了政策建议.
中國—東盟自貿區建設已經步入到“深度一體化”階段,深入分析及度量中國—東盟自貿區的投資效應對此有著較好的指導意義.文章在空間經濟學理論分析基礎上,運用倍差法對中國—東盟自貿區生產轉移效應進行瞭有效的計量估計.實證結果說明雖然中國—東盟自貿區成立對成員國FDI流入有著明顯的正嚮促進作用,但力度較小,遠遠低于生產規模及消費規模等更為直接的因素,自貿區內部潛力還有待進一步挖掘.併在進一步現實分析的基礎上,提齣瞭政策建議.
중국—동맹자무구건설이경보입도“심도일체화”계단,심입분석급도량중국—동맹자무구적투자효응대차유착교호적지도의의.문장재공간경제학이론분석기출상,운용배차법대중국—동맹자무구생산전이효응진행료유효적계량고계.실증결과설명수연중국—동맹자무구성립대성원국FDI류입유착명현적정향촉진작용,단력도교소,원원저우생산규모급소비규모등경위직접적인소,자무구내부잠력환유대진일보알굴.병재진일보현실분석적기출상,제출료정책건의.
It is significant to empirical measure the investment effect of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area,since it steps into the deep integration stage.Based on spatial economics theory and differences-in-differences methods,this paper empirically estimates the investment effect of China-ASEAN Free Trade Area.The empirical results show that although China-ASEAN Free Trade Area plays a clear positive role in promoting FDI inflows onto its member,but the effect is far less than the direct fac?tors,such as production and consumption scales,which means China-ASEAN Free Trade Area still needs further building. And the paper puts forward some policy suggestions based on the reality analysis.
