交通运输系统工程与信息
交通運輸繫統工程與信息
교통운수계통공정여신식
JOURNAL OF COMMUNICATION AND TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS ENGINEERING AND INFORMATION
2014年
6期
15-20
,共6页
综合交通运输%能耗分解%完全分解模型%综合运输系统%能耗强度
綜閤交通運輸%能耗分解%完全分解模型%綜閤運輸繫統%能耗彊度
종합교통운수%능모분해%완전분해모형%종합운수계통%능모강도
integrated transportation%energy consumption decomposition%completely decomposition model%integrated transportation system%energy consumption intensity
随着工业化和城市化程度的提高，交通与能源矛盾日益突出。现有研究认为运输业能源消耗与运输量、能源消耗强度有关，然而忽视了综合运输系统结构对能源消耗的影响。为了解综合运输系统能耗与运输量、能耗强度、运输系统结构三者的定性与定量关系，找出综合运输系统能耗快速增长的真正推动因素，本文以综合运输系统为研究对象，建立基于完全分解的综合运输系统能耗影响分析模型，将能耗的影响因素分解成系统结构、运输量、能源消耗强度三大因子，并对1995–2011年的统计数据进行实例计算。研究发现，运输量的大量增加是运输业能耗显著增加的主要因素。但值得关注的是，运输结构对能源消耗的影响日益突出。所以，我国进一步构建综合运输系统时，应当做好各种运输方式在能耗方面的优势比较及合理的整体发展规划，使得各种运输方式协调发展。应该大力发展能源消耗率低且对环境影响小的铁路和水路运输。
隨著工業化和城市化程度的提高，交通與能源矛盾日益突齣。現有研究認為運輸業能源消耗與運輸量、能源消耗彊度有關，然而忽視瞭綜閤運輸繫統結構對能源消耗的影響。為瞭解綜閤運輸繫統能耗與運輸量、能耗彊度、運輸繫統結構三者的定性與定量關繫，找齣綜閤運輸繫統能耗快速增長的真正推動因素，本文以綜閤運輸繫統為研究對象，建立基于完全分解的綜閤運輸繫統能耗影響分析模型，將能耗的影響因素分解成繫統結構、運輸量、能源消耗彊度三大因子，併對1995–2011年的統計數據進行實例計算。研究髮現，運輸量的大量增加是運輸業能耗顯著增加的主要因素。但值得關註的是，運輸結構對能源消耗的影響日益突齣。所以，我國進一步構建綜閤運輸繫統時，應噹做好各種運輸方式在能耗方麵的優勢比較及閤理的整體髮展規劃，使得各種運輸方式協調髮展。應該大力髮展能源消耗率低且對環境影響小的鐵路和水路運輸。
수착공업화화성시화정도적제고，교통여능원모순일익돌출。현유연구인위운수업능원소모여운수량、능원소모강도유관，연이홀시료종합운수계통결구대능원소모적영향。위료해종합운수계통능모여운수량、능모강도、운수계통결구삼자적정성여정량관계，조출종합운수계통능모쾌속증장적진정추동인소，본문이종합운수계통위연구대상，건립기우완전분해적종합운수계통능모영향분석모형，장능모적영향인소분해성계통결구、운수량、능원소모강도삼대인자，병대1995–2011년적통계수거진행실례계산。연구발현，운수량적대량증가시운수업능모현저증가적주요인소。단치득관주적시，운수결구대능원소모적영향일익돌출。소이，아국진일보구건종합운수계통시，응당주호각충운수방식재능모방면적우세비교급합리적정체발전규화，사득각충운수방식협조발전。응해대력발전능원소모솔저차대배경영향소적철로화수로운수。
The contradiction between transportation and energy increased with the development of industrialization and urbanization. Current research indicates that energy consumption of transportation are related with traffic volume and energy consumption intensity, however, neglecting impaction of system structure of integrated transportation. This paper takes the integrated transportation system as a research object, and the complete decomposition model is built up. The influencing factors of energy consumption is divided into three parts, traffic volume, energy consumption intensity and system structure of integrated transportation. A calculation example is gave based on the statistical data of 1995–2011, to discuss the qualitative and quantitative relationship between energy consumption of transportation and its influencing factors, and find out the main promotion factor that effects energy consumption increasing. By analyzing the data,we can draw the conclusion that the energy consumption of transportation increase significantly with the increase of traffic volume. But it is necessary to point out that the effects of transport structure become more and more outstanding. Therefore, when government constructing integrated transportation system, should analysis comparative advantage energy consumption of each transportation ways and make the whole developing planning to realize the coordination of transport modes. In particular, should greatly develop transportation of railway and waterway which are low energy consumption and little effect on environment.
