CAJ | 학술논문

石油进口依赖给我国经济带来了巨大成本支出和经济风险，提高我国国内石油供给量是降低石油进口依赖路径之一。基于降低石油进口依赖效应，从我国国内石油供给的财富转移收益、潜在 GDP 收益和宏观经济调整收益三个角度以及从直接生产成本、环境成本和使用者成本三项成本来对提高我国国内石油供给的经济可行性进行论证，结论显示整体趋势上，提高国内石油供给的总收益大于其总成本，并且其净收益呈现上升态势，是有利可图的，这种优势在国际油价高企的时候表现得更为突出，但是收益-成本弹性却呈现下降态势，即整体上成本的相对增长幅度要快于收益的增长幅度。
석유진구의뢰급아국경제대래료거대성본지출화경제풍험，제고아국국내석유공급량시강저석유진구의뢰로경지일。기우강저석유진구의뢰효응，종아국국내석유공급적재부전이수익、잠재 GDP 수익화굉관경제조정수익삼개각도이급종직접생산성본、배경성본화사용자성본삼항성본래대제고아국국내석유공급적경제가행성진행론증，결론현시정체추세상，제고국내석유공급적총수익대우기총성본，병차기정수익정현상승태세，시유리가도적，저충우세재국제유개고기적시후표현득경위돌출，단시수익-성본탄성각정현하강태세，즉정체상성본적상대증장폭도요쾌우수익적증장폭도。
Oil import dependence has brought tremendous costs and economic risk for China. Increasing China's oil supply is one way of reducing oil import dependence. Based on the reducing the oil import dependence effect, the article analyses the economic viability of increasing domestic oil supply from three points of view, that is, profits of wealth transfer, potential GDP profits and macroeconomic adjustment profits, and from another three consideration of costs, namely, direct production costs, environmental costs and user costs. The result shows that the profits of increasing our domestic oil supply are more than the costs from the overall trend, and the net profit is increasing, especially as the high oil price. But, the elasticity of profit-cost is falling, which shows the relatively growth rate of overall costs is faster than growth rate of profits.