CAJ | 학술논문

应急方案评估是灾害应急响应中的重要环节。现有方法大都依赖于指挥员个人的知识和经验，而且不能综合不同领域专家的建议。因此，在分析和总结相关工作的基础上，引入云模型和模糊软集合对应急方案进行评估。对于给定的应急方案，首先基于云模型对不同领域专家的评价信息进行定性到定量的转换，然后利用模糊软集合对所有专家的定量评价信息进行聚合，得到综合评判结果。对比实例表明该方法的有效性，并可为应急决策提供理论指导和技术支持。
응급방안평고시재해응급향응중적중요배절。현유방법대도의뢰우지휘원개인적지식화경험，이차불능종합불동영역전가적건의。인차，재분석화총결상관공작적기출상，인입운모형화모호연집합대응급방안진행평고。대우급정적응급방안，수선기우운모형대불동영역전가적평개신식진행정성도정량적전환，연후이용모호연집합대소유전가적정량평개신식진행취합，득도종합평판결과。대비실례표명해방법적유효성，병가위응급결책제공이론지도화기술지지。
The evaluation of emergency disposal schemes is a key topic in disaster emergency response. However, most existing methods only depend on the commander's personal knowledge and experience, which cannot thoroughly consider suggestions of experts in different fields. To tackle such situation, cloud model and fuzzy soft sets are introduced to evaluate emergency disposal schemes. Firstly, cloud model is used to transform qualitative variables into quantitative variables for evaluation information given by experts in different fields. In addition, fuzzy soft sets are adopted to aggregate all quantitative evaluation information to achieve comprehensive evaluation. Finally, the experimental results show that the proposed method is feasible and can provide a theoretical and technical guidance for practical emergency decision making.